仿 GARCH 模型下衍生工具在投资组合优化中的作用

IF 1.4 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Decisions in Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI:10.1007/s10203-024-00433-5
Marcos Escobar-Anel, Eric Molter, Rudi Zagst
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文从预期效用的角度论证了在 Heston 和 Nandi 提出的仿射 GARCH 模型(Rev Financ Stud 13(3):585-625, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/13.3.585)下将衍生工具纳入可交易资产范围的好处。为此,我们首先在市场中引入一个 Power 期权,利用仿射 GARCH 结构推导出其价值和时刻生成函数。然后,我们对 Escobar-Anel 等人(Oper Res Perspect 9:100216, 2022 年)提出的结果进行扩展,求解股票、现金账户和期权的最优投资分配。我们的研究表明,能够加入衍生工具的投资者的表现确实优于只投资股票和银行账户的投资者。在这种情况下,如果投资者没有加入衍生品,即使是较低的衍生品风险敞口,每年的财富等值损失也可能高达 7%。这证实了刘和潘在连续时间模型中的发现(J Financ Econ 69(3):401-430, 2003)。对 S &P500 指数的实证分析证实,在样本内和样本外,带有期权的投资组合在夏普比率和最大缩水率方面都具有优势。
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The power of derivatives in portfolio optimization under affine GARCH models

This paper demonstrates the benefits, from an expected utility perspective, of including a derivative into the universe of tradeable assets under the affine GARCH model proposed by Heston and Nandi (Rev Financ Stud 13(3):585–625, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/13.3.585). For this purpose, we first introduce a Power Option into the market, derive its value and moment generating function thanks to the affine GARCH structure. We then expand on the results presented by Escobar-Anel et al. (Oper Res Perspect 9:100216, 2022) by solving for the optimal investment allocations into the stock, a cash account and the option. We show that investors who are able to include a derivative indeed outperform those who only invest into the stock and the bank account. In this spirit, investors who fail to include, even a low level of exposure to the derivative, could see up to 7% annual wealth-equivalent losses. This confirms findings in continuous-time models dating to Liu and Pan (J Financ Econ 69(3):401–430, 2003). An empirical analysis on the S &P500 confirms the superiority in terms of Sharpe ratio, and maximum drawdown of portfolios with options, in-sample and out-of-sample.

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来源期刊
Decisions in Economics and Finance
Decisions in Economics and Finance SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
9.10%
发文量
10
期刊介绍: Decisions in Economics and Finance: A Journal of Applied Mathematics is the official publication of the Association for Mathematics Applied to Social and Economic Sciences (AMASES). It provides a specialised forum for the publication of research in all areas of mathematics as applied to economics, finance, insurance, management and social sciences. Primary emphasis is placed on original research concerning topics in mathematics or computational techniques which are explicitly motivated by or contribute to the analysis of economic or financial problems.
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