Risk stratification for radioactive iodine refractoriness using molecular alterations in distant metastatic differentiated thyroid cancer.

Objective: Patients with radioactive iodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer (RAIR-DTC) are often diagnosed with delay and constrained to limited treatment options. The correlation between RAI refractoriness and the underlying genetic characteristics has not been extensively studied.

Methods: Adult patients with distant metastatic DTC were enrolled and assigned to undergo next-generation sequencing of a customized 26-gene panel (ThyroLead). Patients were classified into RAIR-DTC or non-RAIR groups to determine the differences in clinicopathological and molecular characteristics. Molecular risk stratification (MRS) was constructed based on the association between molecular alterations identified and RAI refractoriness, and the results were classified as high, intermediate or low MRS.

Results: A total of 220 patients with distant metastases were included, 63.2% of whom were identified as RAIR-DTC. Genetic alterations were identified in 90% of all the patients, with BRAF (59.7% vs. 17.3%), TERT promoter (43.9% vs. 7.4%), and TP53 mutations (11.5% vs. 3.7%) being more prevalent in the RAIR-DTC group than in the non-RAIR group, except for RET fusions (15.8% vs. 39.5%), which had the opposite pattern. BRAF and TERT promoter are independent predictors of RAIR-DTC, accounting for 67.6% of patients with RAIR-DTC. MRS was strongly associated with RAI refractoriness (P<0.001), with an odds ratio (OR) of high to low MRS of 7.52 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 3.96-14.28; P<0.001] and an OR of intermediate to low MRS of 3.20 (95% CI, 1.01-10.14; P=0.041).

Conclusions: Molecular alterations were associated with RAI refractoriness, with BRAF and TERT promoter mutations being the predominant contributors, followed by TP53 and DICER1 mutations. MRS might serve as a valuable tool for both prognosticating clinical outcomes and directing precision-based therapeutic interventions.