利用基于模糊 AHP 的机器学习方法预测印度东部水稻休耕区的脉动适宜性

IF 1.9 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING Paddy and Water Environment Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI:10.1007/s10333-024-00970-0
Satiprasad Sahoo, Chiranjit Singha, Ajit Govind
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在印度东部,有一种被称为 "水稻休耕脉冲"(RFP)的普遍做法,即利用土壤的剩余水分种植短期脉冲作物。对于雨水灌溉系统来说,这是一种适应气候的绝佳做法。为了帮助农民就在哪里种植什么作物做出明智的决定,并帮助政策制定者为及时分发种子创造有利条件,必须从地理和时间上对脉动作物的适宜性进行预测。我们尝试使用基于模糊 AHP(FAHP)的机器学习方法,在考虑印度西孟加拉邦西拉特区 15 个自然、气候、环境和土壤健康相关特征的同时,检测脉动作物在地理和时间上的适宜性。根据研究结果,所有机器学习(ML)技术都确定了 Murshidabad、Birbhum、Paschim Bardhaman、Paschim Medinipur 和 Jhargram 等地区的高适宜区。通过使用机器学习技术,如收缩判别分析 (SDA)、神经网络 (nnet)、随机森林 (RF)、奈夫贝叶斯 (NB)、基于规则的 C5.0、遗传算法 (GA) 和粒子群优化 (PSO),发现在 Murshidabad、Birbhum、Paschim Bardhaman、Paschim Medinipur 和 Purulia 的一些地区可以看到中等适宜区。此外,还注意到在比尔布姆、班库拉、普尔巴-巴达汉曼、普鲁利亚和穆尔希达巴德的某些地区,所有 ML 方法都显示出最大的低适宜区。最后,地区级小粒作物、鹰嘴豆和鸽子豆的年脉冲产量验证了基于 ML 模型的精确性。我们设计了一个评估脉动适宜性分析的结构,以提高作物和土地生产力。面对不断变化的经济和环境条件,世界上人口最多的地区之一可以利用这些数据为政策决策提供信息,从而提高粮食和营养安全。
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Prediction of pulse suitability in rice fallow areas using fuzzy AHP-based machine learning methods in Eastern India

In Eastern India, a widespread practice known as “rice fallow pulse” (RFP) involves using the soil’s remaining moisture to grow a short-duration pulse crop. For rainfed systems, it is an excellent practice of climate adaptation. To help farmers make informed decisions about where to plant what and to help policymakers create favorable conditions for timely seed distribution, it is imperative to forecast the appropriateness of pulse crops both geographically and temporally. Using fuzzy AHP (FAHP)-based machine learning methods, we tried to detect pulse appropriateness both geographically and temporally while considering fifteen natural, climatic, environment, and soil health-related characteristics in the Western Lateritic Zone of the Indian State of West Bengal. According to the findings, all machine learning (ML) techniques identified high-suitability zones in the districts of Murshidabad, Birbhum, Paschim Bardhaman, Paschim Medinipur, and Jhargram. By using machine learning techniques such as shrinkage discriminant analysis (SDA), neural network (nnet), random forest (RF), Naive Bayes (NB), rule-based C5.0, genetic algorithm (GA), and particle swarm optimization (PSO), it was found that moderate suitability zones were visible in some areas of Murshidabad, Birbhum, Paschim Bardhaman, Paschim Medinipur, and Purulia. Additionally, it was noted that all ML approaches revealed maximum low suitability zones in certain areas of Birbhum, Bankura, Purba Bardhaman, Purulia, and Murshidabad. Finally, district-level yearly pulse yields of minor, chickpea, and pigeonpea verified the precision of the ML-based models. We have devised a structure to assess pulse suitability analysis to improve crop and land productivity. One of the world’s most populous regions can use the data to inform policy decisions that will improve food and nutritional security in the face of shifting economic and environmental conditions.

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来源期刊
Paddy and Water Environment
Paddy and Water Environment AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING-AGRONOMY
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
4.50%
发文量
36
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: The aim of Paddy and Water Environment is to advance the science and technology of water and environment related disciplines in paddy-farming. The scope includes the paddy-farming related scientific and technological aspects in agricultural engineering such as irrigation and drainage, soil and water conservation, land and water resources management, irrigation facilities and disaster management, paddy multi-functionality, agricultural policy, regional planning, bioenvironmental systems, and ecological conservation and restoration in paddy farming regions.
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