多分辨率溪流生成的深度学习建模框架

Fernanda Custodio Pereira do Carmo, Jeenu John, L. Sushama, Muhammad Naveed Khaliq
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摘要

在几公里的精细空间尺度上,通过气候-水文综合建模生成连续的溪流信息,往往会受到运行高分辨率(HR)气候模型的计算成本的挑战。为了应对这一挑战,本研究探索了深度学习方法,以便根据气候模型生成的径流,从低分辨率(LR)信息生成高分辨率(HR)信息。为此,本研究采用了加拿大渥太华河流域低分辨率(50 千米)和高分辨率(5 千米)下的两组跨度为 10 年(2011-2020 年)的每日流量模拟数据。所提议的深度学习模型使用 2011-2018 年期间 LR 流量模拟的放大特征作为输入,并使用相应的 HR 流量模拟作为目标;2019 年的数据用于验证。与同年未见的 HR 数据相比,2020 年的模型估算结果表明性能良好,不同蓄积区类别的月平均值差异在-0.7%-5%之间,同一蓄积区类别的流量值相关系数在 0.92-0.96 之间。开发的框架可移植到其他流域,以生成气候变化适应研究中经常需要的类似信息。
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Deep learning modeling framework for multi-resolution streamflow generation
Generating continuous streamflow information through integrated climate-hydrology modeling at fine spatial scales of the order of a few kilometers is often challenged by computational costs associated with running high-resolution (HR) climate models. To address this challenge, the present study explores deep learning approaches to generate HR streamflow information from that at low resolution (LR), based on runoff generated by climate models. To this end, two sets of daily streamflow simulations spanning 10 years (2011–2020), at LR (50 km) and HR (5 km), for the Ottawa River basin in Canada are employed. The proposed deep learning model is trained using upscaled features derived from LR streamflow simulation for the 2011–2018 period as input and the corresponding HR streamflow simulation as the target; data for 2019 are used for validation. The model estimates for the year 2020, when compared with unseen HR data for the same year, suggest good performance, with differences in monthly mean values for different accumulation area categories in the −0.7–5% range and correlation coefficients for streamflow values for the same accumulation area categories in the 0.92–0.96 range. The developed framework can be ported to other watersheds for generating similar information, which is often required in climate change adaptation studies.
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