法国阿罗美个人气象站地面气压观测数据同化

IF 4.2 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-19 DOI:10.5194/nhess-24-907-2024
Alan Demortier, M. Mandement, V. Pourret, O. Caumont
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要。与仅使用标准气象站(SWS)相比,来自个人气象站(PWS)的空间致密表面气压观测数据能够更详细地描述表面气压模式,例如与对流事件相关的模式。本研究评估了在法国南部的一次强降水事件中,在为期 1 个月的时间内利用 AROME-France 模式的 3DVar 和 3DEnVar 数据同化方案同化个人气象站观测数据的益处。观测数据经过偏差校正、质量控制,并以相当于 AROME-France 网格单元水平维度的间距进行稀释。在法国,55 187 个可用的 PWS 观测数据中有近一半被同化,是 SWS 观测数据同化数量的 129 倍。尽管使用 3DVar 同化方案同化观测数据的优势有限,但 3DEnVar 同化方案显示出系统性的改进,将法国上空 1 小时模式预报与 SWS 观测数据之间的地表气压均方根偏差减少了 10.3%。在平均海平面气压预报的前 9 小时,观测到了显著的改善。最后,当利用 3DEnVar 同化方案同化 PWS 观测数据时,成功地同化了中尺度对流系统产生的表面气压异常--PWS 观测到的异常,没有 PWS 就看不到。在这种情况下,同化气象观测系统观测数据后,对中尺度对流系统的位置和时间演变以及降雨量的预报更接近观测结果。
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Assimilation of surface pressure observations from personal weather stations in AROME-France
Abstract. Spatially dense surface pressure observations from personal weather stations (PWSs) are able to describe pressure patterns at the surface, such as those associated with convective events, in more detail than with standard weather stations (SWSs) only. In this study, the benefit of assimilating PWS observations with the 3DVar and the 3DEnVar data assimilation schemes of the AROME-France model is evaluated over a 1-month period and during a heavy precipitation event in the South of France. Observations of surface pressure from PWSs are bias-corrected, quality-controlled, and thinned with a spacing equal to the horizontal dimension of an AROME-France grid cell. Over France, almost half of the 55 187 available PWS observations are assimilated, which is 129 times more than the number of assimilated SWS observations. Despite the limited advantages found from their assimilation with the 3DVar assimilation scheme, the 3DEnVar assimilation scheme shows systematic improvement and reduces by 10.3 % the root-mean-square deviation in surface pressure between 1 h model forecasts and SWS observations over France. Significant improvement is observed over the first 9 h of the forecasts in mean sea level pressure. Finally, when PWS observations are assimilated with the 3DEnVar assimilation scheme, a surface pressure anomaly generated by a mesoscale convective system – observed by PWSs and not visible without them – is successfully assimilated. In that case, the forecasts of location and temporal evolution of the mesoscale convective system as well as rainfall are closer to the observations when PWS observations are assimilated.
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来源期刊
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
7.60
自引率
6.50%
发文量
192
审稿时长
3.8 months
期刊介绍: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS) is an interdisciplinary and international journal dedicated to the public discussion and open-access publication of high-quality studies and original research on natural hazards and their consequences. Embracing a holistic Earth system science approach, NHESS serves a wide and diverse community of research scientists, practitioners, and decision makers concerned with detection of natural hazards, monitoring and modelling, vulnerability and risk assessment, and the design and implementation of mitigation and adaptation strategies, including economical, societal, and educational aspects.
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