区块链信用风险预测方法在供应链金融中的应用研究

Yue Liu, Wangke Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

引言:从区块链的视角出发,建立适用于区块链的供应链金融信用风险评价指标体系,构建精准的信用风险预测模型,为供应链金融信用风险研究提供可靠保障:针对目前供应链金融信用风险预测与评价模型效率低下的问题.方法:本文提出了一种基于内核主成分分析和智能优化算法的区块链供应链金融信用风险预测与评价相结合的方法,改进了深度回声态网络。首先,通过描述基于区块链技术的供应链金融信用风险预测与评价问题,分析评价指标,构建评价体系;然后,结合核主成分分析方法和JSO算法,对DeepESN网络的参数进行优化,构建供应链金融信用风险预测与评价模型;最后,通过仿真实验分析,验证了所提方法的有效性、鲁棒性和实时性。结果:结果表明,所提方法提高了预测模型的预测效率。结论:有效解决了B2B电子商务交易规模预测方法指标体系构建不够科学、风险预测模型效率不高等问题。
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Research on Credit Risk Prediction Method of Blockchain Applied to Supply Chain Finance
INTRODUCTION: From the perspective of blockchain, it establishes a credit risk evaluation index system for supply chain finance applicable to blockchain, constructs an accurate credit risk prediction model, and provides a reliable guarantee for the research of credit risk in supply chain finance.OBJECTIVES: To address the inefficiency of the current credit risk prediction and evaluation model for supply chain finance.METHODS: This paper proposes a combined blockchain supply chain financial credit risk prediction and evaluation method based on kernel principal component analysis and intelligent optimisation algorithm to improve Deep Echo State Network. Firstly, the evaluation system is constructed by describing the supply chain financial credit risk prediction and evaluation problem based on blockchain technology, analysing the evaluation indexes, and constructing the evaluation system; then, the parameters of DeepESN network are optimized by combining the kernel principal component analysis method with the JSO algorithm to construct the credit risk prediction and evaluation model of supply chain finance; finally, the effectiveness, robustness, and real-time performance of the proposed method are verified by simulation experiment analysis.RESULTS: The results show that the proposed method improves the prediction efficiency of the prediction model.CONCLUSION: The problems of insufficient scientific construction of index system and poor efficiency of risk prediction model of B2B E-commerce transaction size prediction method are effectively solved.
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