基于区块链技术的电力市场违规监管的进化博弈分析

Yonghong Zhang, Shouwei Li, Jingwei Li, Xiaoyu Tang
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摘要

电力市场违规行为影响着电力市场的整体运行。本文探讨了传统监管和区块链监管两种模式下发电企业和电力消费者的演化稳定策略,分析区块链技术解决电力市场违规问题的机制和条件。实验结果表明,用户接受电力的可能性和监管机构的监管能力对发电企业采取的违规方式起着至关重要的决定作用。在传统监管模式下,由于信息不对称,监管机构可能无法及时发现违规行为。同时,由于上诉成本较高,电力消费者可能会选择接受发电企业的违规行为。区块链技术可以使监管机构通过消除信息不对称,降低电力消费者的申诉成本,从而提升企业的市场违规风险,使博弈向最优状态优化演进,从而提高监管能力。
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Evolutionary game analysis of violation regulation in the electricity market based on blockchain technology
Electricity market violations affect the overall operations of the electricity market. This paper explores the evolutionary stability strategies of electricity generation enterprises and electricity consumers under two modes: traditional regulation and blockchain regulation to analyze blockchain technology’s mechanism and conditions in solving electricity market violations. The experimental results indicate that the likelihood of consumers accepting electricity and the regulatory capacity of regulatory agencies play a crucial role in determining the violation approach adopted by electricity generation enterprises. Under traditional regulatory models, due to information asymmetry, regulatory agencies may not be able to detect violations promptly. Meanwhile, electricity consumers may choose to accept violations by power generation companies due to high appeal costs. Blockchain technology enables regulatory agencies to improve their regulatory capabilities by eliminating information asymmetry, reducing the cost of complaints from electricity consumers, thereby elevating the risk for enterprises engaging in market violations and optimizing the evolutionary game towards an optimum state.
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