探索人工通用智能的制约因素:人机互动的博弈论模型

IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Mathematical Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI:10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2024.03.004
Mehmet S. Ismail
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人工通用智能(AGI)系统的潜在出现引发了研究人员、决策者和公众的激烈讨论,因为它们有可能在所有领域超越人类智能。本论文认为,人工智能要想被视为 "通用",不仅要在零和博弈中取得超人的表现,还要在输赢没有明确定义的泛和博弈中取得超人的表现。在这篇论文中,我提出了一个博弈论框架,该框架可以捕捉具有代表性的人类代理与潜在超人机器代理之间的战略互动。该框架基于四个假设:超人机器、机器战略、理性和战略不可预测性。主要结果是一个不可能性定理,证明这些假设放在一起是不一致的,但放宽其中任何一个假设都会得到一组一致的假设。本论文有助于更好地理解超人人工智能发展的理论背景。
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Exploring the constraints on artificial general intelligence: A game-theoretic model of human vs machine interaction

The potential emergence of artificial general intelligence (AGI) systems has sparked intense debate among researchers, policymakers, and the public due to their potential to surpass human intelligence in all domains. This note argues that for an AI to be considered “general”, it should achieve superhuman performance not only in zero-sum games but also in general-sum games, where winning or losing is not clearly defined. In this note, I propose a game-theoretic framework that captures the strategic interactions between a representative human agent and a potential superhuman machine agent. Four assumptions underpin this framework: Superhuman Machine, Machine Strategy, Rationality, and Strategic Unpredictability. The main result is an impossibility theorem, establishing that these assumptions are inconsistent when taken together, but relaxing any one of them results in a consistent set of assumptions. This note contributes to a better understanding of the theoretical context that can shape the development of superhuman AI.

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来源期刊
Mathematical Social Sciences
Mathematical Social Sciences 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
55
审稿时长
59 days
期刊介绍: The international, interdisciplinary journal Mathematical Social Sciences publishes original research articles, survey papers, short notes and book reviews. The journal emphasizes the unity of mathematical modelling in economics, psychology, political sciences, sociology and other social sciences. Topics of particular interest include the fundamental aspects of choice, information, and preferences (decision science) and of interaction (game theory and economic theory), the measurement of utility, welfare and inequality, the formal theories of justice and implementation, voting rules, cooperative games, fair division, cost allocation, bargaining, matching, social networks, and evolutionary and other dynamics models. Papers published by the journal are mathematically rigorous but no bounds, from above or from below, limits their technical level. All mathematical techniques may be used. The articles should be self-contained and readable by social scientists trained in mathematics.
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