金融市场结构和组成的非线性变化和混乱

Nick James, Max Menzies
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摘要

本文开发了新的数学技术,以识别被划分为一系列新的、更详细的市场板块的美国股票之间的时间变化。尽管在概念上是相关的,但我们的三项分析揭示了金融市场的不同见解,对投资经理具有重要意义。首先,我们探索了多种方法来识别市场板块结构的非线性变化,并描述了所使用的测量方法与所捕捉到的现象之间的数学联系。其次,我们研究了新市场部门的网络结构,并确定了有意义的部门与部门之间的映射关系。最后,我们对不同的样本空间进行了一系列抽样实验,并对比了只做多头、做多做空和只做空头的投资组合所产生的夏普比率的分布情况。此外,我们还研究了每种投资组合风格中表现最好的投资组合的行业构成。在实践中,本文提出的方法可用于识别制度转变、结构优化的投资组合以及更好的股票群体。
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Nonlinear shifts and dislocations in financial market structure and composition
This paper develops new mathematical techniques to identify temporal shifts among a collection of US equities partitioned into a new and more detailed set of market sectors. Although conceptually related, our three analyses reveal distinct insights about financial markets, with meaningful implications for investment managers. First, we explore a variety of methods to identify nonlinear shifts in market sector structure and describe the mathematical connection between the measure used and the captured phenomena. Second, we study network structure with respect to our new market sectors and identify meaningfully connected sector-to-sector mappings. Finally, we conduct a series of sampling experiments over different sample spaces and contrast the distribution of Sharpe ratios produced by long-only, long-short and short-only investment portfolios. In addition, we examine the sector composition of the top-performing portfolios for each of these portfolio styles. In practice, the methods proposed in this paper could be used to identify regime shifts, optimally structured portfolios, and better communities of equities.
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