A model that predicts a real-time tumour surface using intra-treatment skin surface and end-of-expiration and end-of-inhalation planning CT images.

Objectives: To develop a mapping model between skin surface motion and internal tumour motion and deformation using end-of-exhalation (EOE) and end-of-inhalation (EOI) 3D CT images for tracking lung tumours during respiration.

Methods: Before treatment, skin and tumour surfaces were segmented and reconstructed from the EOE and the EOI 3D CT images. A non-rigid registration algorithm was used to register the EOE skin and tumour surfaces to the EOI, resulting in a displacement vector field that was then used to construct a mapping model. During treatment, the EOE skin surface was registered to the real-time, yielding a real-time skin surface displacement vector field. Using the mapping model generated, the input of a real-time skin surface can be used to calculate the real-time tumour surface. The proposed method was validated with and without simulated noise on 4D CT images from 15 patients at Léon Bérard Cancer Center and the 4D-lung dataset.

Results: The average centre position error, dice similarity coefficient (DSC), 95%-Hausdorff distance and mean distance to agreement of the tumour surfaces were 1.29 mm, 0.924, 2.76 mm, and 1.13 mm without simulated noise, respectively. With simulated noise, these values were 1.33 mm, 0.920, 2.79 mm, and 1.15 mm, respectively.

Conclusions: A patient-specific model was proposed and validated that was constructed using only EOE and EOI 3D CT images and real-time skin surface images to predict internal tumour motion and deformation during respiratory motion.

Advances in knowledge: The proposed method achieves comparable accuracy to state-of-the-art methods with fewer pre-treatment planning CT images, which holds potential for application in precise image-guided radiation therapy.