DeepTraderX:在多线程市场模拟中利用深度学习挑战传统交易策略

Armand Mihai Cismaru
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摘要

本文介绍了基于深度学习的简单交易工具 DeepTraderX (DTX),并展示了其在多线程市场模拟中的表现。在总共约 500 个模拟市场日中,DTX 完全通过观察其他策略产生的价格来学习。通过这种方式,它成功地创建了从市场数据到报价的映射,无论是买入还是卖出订单,都可以为资产下单。DTX 根据历史二级市场数据(即特定可交易资产的限价订单簿 (LOB))进行训练,在每个时间点 $T$ 处理市场状态 $S$ 以确定市场订单的价格 $P$。训练和测试中使用的市场数据均由基于真实历史股票市场数据的独特市场时间表生成。DTX 与文献中的最佳策略进行了广泛测试,并通过统计分析验证了其结果。我们的发现强调了 DTX 的能力,它可以与公共领域交易员的表现相媲美,在许多情况下甚至超过了他们,包括那些超越人类交易员的交易员,这也强调了简单模型的效率,因为这是在复杂的多线程模拟中取得成功的必要条件。这凸显了利用 "黑盒 "深度学习系统创建更高效金融市场的潜力。
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DeepTraderX: Challenging Conventional Trading Strategies with Deep Learning in Multi-Threaded Market Simulations
In this paper, we introduce DeepTraderX (DTX), a simple Deep Learning-based trader, and present results that demonstrate its performance in a multi-threaded market simulation. In a total of about 500 simulated market days, DTX has learned solely by watching the prices that other strategies produce. By doing this, it has successfully created a mapping from market data to quotes, either bid or ask orders, to place for an asset. Trained on historical Level-2 market data, i.e., the Limit Order Book (LOB) for specific tradable assets, DTX processes the market state $S$ at each timestep $T$ to determine a price $P$ for market orders. The market data used in both training and testing was generated from unique market schedules based on real historic stock market data. DTX was tested extensively against the best strategies in the literature, with its results validated by statistical analysis. Our findings underscore DTX's capability to rival, and in many instances, surpass, the performance of public-domain traders, including those that outclass human traders, emphasising the efficiency of simple models, as this is required to succeed in intricate multi-threaded simulations. This highlights the potential of leveraging "black-box" Deep Learning systems to create more efficient financial markets.
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