{"title":"当资产收益呈方差伽马分布时,利润分享型人寿保险保单的利润测试","authors":"Olivier Le Courtois, Li Shen","doi":"10.1007/s10203-024-00440-6","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper examines the profit testing of life insurance companies that issue participating policies, type B and type A universal life policies, and variable annuities with guaranteed minimum maturity and death benefits, when investment returns are stochastic and modeled by normal or variance gamma distributions. We rely on the stochastic profit testing techniques introduced in Dickson et al. (Actuarial mathematics for life contingent risks, 2nd edn, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2013) to examine the influence of the models’ parameters and of the models themselves on the profit testing indicators. We show that the variance gamma model results in more conservative predictions than the normal model for most cases.</p>","PeriodicalId":43711,"journal":{"name":"Decisions in Economics and Finance","volume":"428 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Profit testing of profit sharing life insurance policies when asset returns are variance gamma distributed\",\"authors\":\"Olivier Le Courtois, Li Shen\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s10203-024-00440-6\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>This paper examines the profit testing of life insurance companies that issue participating policies, type B and type A universal life policies, and variable annuities with guaranteed minimum maturity and death benefits, when investment returns are stochastic and modeled by normal or variance gamma distributions. We rely on the stochastic profit testing techniques introduced in Dickson et al. (Actuarial mathematics for life contingent risks, 2nd edn, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2013) to examine the influence of the models’ parameters and of the models themselves on the profit testing indicators. We show that the variance gamma model results in more conservative predictions than the normal model for most cases.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":43711,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Decisions in Economics and Finance\",\"volume\":\"428 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-03-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Decisions in Economics and Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10203-024-00440-6\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Decisions in Economics and Finance","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10203-024-00440-6","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
本文研究了当投资收益是随机的并以正态分布或方差伽马分布为模型时,发行分红保单、B 类和 A 类万能寿险保单以及具有最低满期和死亡给付保证的变额年金的人寿保险公司的利润测试。我们利用 Dickson 等人(《人寿或有风险的精算数学》,第 2 版,剑桥大学出版社,剑桥,2013 年)中介绍的随机利润测试技术来检验模型参数和模型本身对利润测试指标的影响。我们发现,在大多数情况下,方差伽马模型的预测结果比正常模型更为保守。
Profit testing of profit sharing life insurance policies when asset returns are variance gamma distributed
This paper examines the profit testing of life insurance companies that issue participating policies, type B and type A universal life policies, and variable annuities with guaranteed minimum maturity and death benefits, when investment returns are stochastic and modeled by normal or variance gamma distributions. We rely on the stochastic profit testing techniques introduced in Dickson et al. (Actuarial mathematics for life contingent risks, 2nd edn, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2013) to examine the influence of the models’ parameters and of the models themselves on the profit testing indicators. We show that the variance gamma model results in more conservative predictions than the normal model for most cases.
期刊介绍:
Decisions in Economics and Finance: A Journal of Applied Mathematics is the official publication of the Association for Mathematics Applied to Social and Economic Sciences (AMASES). It provides a specialised forum for the publication of research in all areas of mathematics as applied to economics, finance, insurance, management and social sciences. Primary emphasis is placed on original research concerning topics in mathematics or computational techniques which are explicitly motivated by or contribute to the analysis of economic or financial problems.