气候变化对保险组合的风险评估

Eva Luiz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究的总体目的是调查气候变化风险对保险组合的影响。研究方法:本研究采用案头研究方法。案头研究指的是二手数据或无需实地考察即可收集的数据。案头研究基本上是从现有资源中收集数据,因此与实地研究相比,案头研究通常被认为是一种低成本技术,因为主要成本涉及管理人员的时间、电话费和目录。因此,本研究依赖于已出版的研究、报告和统计数据。这些二手数据可通过在线期刊和图书馆轻松获取。研究结果:研究结果表明,在气候变化风险对保险投资组合的影响方面存在背景和方法上的差距。对保险组合的气候变化风险评估揭示了日益频繁和严重的气候相关事件所带来的重大挑战,影响了保险公司的财务稳定性和保单持有人的安全。主要结论强调,保险公司必须加强气候风险建模,将气候因素纳入决策过程,并促进与利益相关者的合作,以制定有效的风险管理解决方案。积极主动的措施对于应对气候风险的系统性至关重要,强调了集体行动和创新的紧迫性,以便在不断变化的气候中增强保险组合和更广泛社会的抗灾能力和可持续性。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:展望理论、代理理论和复原力理论可用于未来与保险组合气候变化风险相关的研究。建议保险公司投资于先进的风险建模,分散跨地区和跨业务领域的风险,将气候风险纳入承保和定价,加强监管,与利益相关者合作,投资于气候适应和减缓措施。这些建议旨在提高保险公司量化和有效管理气候相关风险的能力,促进可持续发展,并为更广泛的气候变化抗御能力建设工作做出贡献。关键词气候变化风险、保险组合、复原力、风险建模、多样化、承保、监管监督、合作
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Assessment of Climate Change Risk on Insurance Portfolios
Purpose: The general purpose of this study was to investigate the assessment of climate change risk on insurance portfolios. Methodology: The study adopted a desktop research methodology. Desk research refers to secondary data or that which can be collected without fieldwork. Desk research is basically involved in collecting data from existing resources hence it is often considered a low cost technique as compared to field research, as the main cost is involved in executive’s time, telephone charges and directories. Thus, the study relied on already published studies, reports and statistics. This secondary data was easily accessed through the online journals and library. Findings: The findings reveal that there exists a contextual and methodological gap relating to climate change risk on insurance portfolios. The assessment of climate change risk on insurance portfolios reveals the significant challenges posed by increasingly frequent and severe climate-related events, impacting insurers' financial stability and policyholders' security. Key conclusions emphasize the imperative for insurers to enhance climate risk modeling, integrate climate considerations into decision-making processes, and foster collaboration with stakeholders to develop effective risk management solutions. Proactive measures are essential to address the systemic nature of climate risks, underscoring the urgency of collective action and innovation to build resilience and sustainability in insurance portfolios and broader society amidst a changing climate. Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice and Policy: The Prospect theory, Agency theory and the Resilience theory may be used to anchor future studies relating to climate change risk on insurance portfolios. Insurers are advised to invest in advanced risk modeling, diversify risk exposure across regions and lines of business, integrate climate risk into underwriting and pricing, strengthen regulatory oversight, collaborate with stakeholders, and invest in climate adaptation and mitigation measures. These recommendations aim to improve insurers' ability to quantify and manage climate-related risks effectively, promote sustainability, and contribute to broader resilience-building efforts in the face of climate change. Keywords: Climate Change Risk, Insurance Portfolios, Resilience, Risk Modeling, Diversification, Underwriting, Regulatory Oversight, Collaboration
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