商品金融化对价格的影响:证据回顾

IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI:10.1111/joes.12619
M. M. Kupabado, Juergen Kaehler
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2007/2008 年金融危机之后,商品金融化的价格效应成为一个重要的研究课题。我们以统计方法和计量经济学模型为重点,回顾了实证证据,发现:(1)格兰杰因果关系检验无法确定商品期货价格与金融投资者资金之间的关系,这意味着缺乏金融化影响商品期货价格的证据;(2)使用相关性和价差分析的研究大多报告了金融化对价格产生显著影响的证据。因此,不同研究采用的统计和计量经济学方法会影响实证研究结果。此外,数据识别也会产生影响,因为经济模型和统计技术可能对数据集的细微差别很敏感。我们对文献的研究表明,金融化的定义是开放的、模糊的。关于金融化的理论文献综述可能是合乎逻辑的下一步。
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Price effects of commodity financialization: Review of the evidence
Following the 2007/2008 financial crisis, the price effects of commodity financialization have become an important research topic. We review the empirical evidence, focusing on statistical approaches and econometric models, and find that (1) Granger‐causality tests are unable to establish a relationship between commodity futures prices and funds of financial investors, implying a lack of evidence that financialization influences commodity futures prices and (2) studies that use correlation and price spread analysis mostly report evidence of a significant price effect of financialization. Thus, the statistical and econometric approaches adopted by the various studies influence the empirical findings. In addition, data identification may have an impact since economic models and statistical techniques can be sensitive to slight differences in the dataset. Our study of the literature shows that the definition of financialization is open‐ended and ambiguous. A theoretical literature review on financialization could be the logical next step.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.30
自引率
3.80%
发文量
57
期刊介绍: As economics becomes increasingly specialized, communication amongst economists becomes even more important. The Journal of Economic Surveys seeks to improve the communication of new ideas. It provides a means by which economists can keep abreast of recent developments beyond their immediate specialization. Areas covered include: - economics - econometrics - economic history - business economics
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