一带一路 "沿线股票市场的相关性分析:广义复杂网络方法

Lu Xunfa, Jingjing Sun, Zhengjun Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

.本研究利用基于最大信息系数的广义复杂网络,研究了 "一带一路 "沿线代表性国家或地区股票市场指数之间的相关性。同时,利用最小生成树分析了重点股市指数的动态相关性特征。首先,研究结果表明,自 "一带一路 "政策提出以来,中国股市成为股指网络的中心,与其他国家或地区的股指建立了更强的关联。其次,在所有子样本时期,尤其是在政策提出之前,"一带一路 "沿线代表性国家或地区的股市指数网络总体上呈现出区域地理学上的大规模聚集模式。第三,在极端冲击下,这些股市指数之间的相关性明显增强。最后,2015 年以来,随着中国与 "一带一路 "沿线国家或地区投资贸易的逐步深化,这些股票市场指数之间的关系程度也在发生变化。
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Correlation Analysis of Stock Markets Along the Belt and Road: A Generalised Complex Network Approach
. This study investigates the correlations between stock market indices in representative countries or regions along the Belt and Road using a generalised complex network based on the maximum information coefficient. Also, the dynamic correlation characteristics of the focused stock market indices are analysed utilising the minimum spanning tree. Firstly, the results show that, since the introduction of the Belt and Road policy, the Chinese stock market has emerged as the center of the stock index networks, establishing stronger associations with the stock indices of other countries or regions. Secondly, throughout all sub-sample periods, especially before the policy was put forward, the stock index networks of the stock market indices of representative countries or regions along the Belt and Road generally exhibit aggregation patterns of regional geography in the mass. Thirdly, the correlation between these stock market indices is significantly strengthened during extreme shocks. Finally, since 2015, with the progressive deepening of investment and trade between China and other countries or regions along the Belt and Road, the degree of relationship between these stock market indices under discussion has been undergoing changes.
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来源期刊
Economic Computation and Economic Cybernetics Studies and Research
Economic Computation and Economic Cybernetics Studies and Research MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
22.20%
发文量
60
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: ECECSR is a refereed journal dedicated to publication of original articles in the fields of economic mathematical modeling, operations research, microeconomics, macroeconomics, mathematical programming, statistical analysis, game theory, artificial intelligence, and other topics from theoretical development to research on applied economic problems. Published by the Academy of Economic Studies in Bucharest, it is the leading journal in the field of economic modeling from Romania.
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