用于地震时间预测的混合深度学习模型

IF 17.7 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI:10.35378/gujs.1364529
Anıl Utku, M. A. Akcayol
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引用次数: 0

摘要

地震是近十年来不断威胁人类的最危险的自然灾害之一。因此,采取地震预防措施极为重要。对这些危险事件的时间估计变得越来越具体,尤其是为了将地震造成的损失降到最低。本研究提出了一种混合深度学习模型,用于预测下一次地震可能发生的时间。所开发的 CNN+GRU 模型与 RF、ARIMA、CNN 和 GRU 进行了比较。使用地震数据集对这些模型进行了测试。实验结果表明,根据 MSE、RMSE、MAE 和 MAPE 指标,CNN+GRU 模型的表现优于其他模型。这项研究强调了预测地震的重要性,为采取更有效的地震预防措施提供了一种方法,并有可能最大限度地减少人员伤亡和财产损失。这项研究应被视为未来地震预测方法中的重要一步,并有助于降低地震风险。
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Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction
Earthquakes are one of the most dangerous natural disasters that have constantly threatened humanity in the last decade. Therefore, it is extremely important to take preventive measures against earthquakes. Time estimation in these dangerous events is becoming more specific, especially in order to minimize the damage caused by earthquakes. In this study, a hybrid deep learning model is proposed to predict the time of the next earthquake to potentially occur. The developed CNN+GRU model was compared with RF, ARIMA, CNN and GRU. These models were tested using an earthquake dataset. Experimental results show that the CNN+GRU model performs better than others according to MSE, RMSE, MAE and MAPE metrics. This study highlights the importance of predicting earthquakes, providing a way to help take more effective precautions against earthquakes and potentially minimize loss of life and material damage. This study should be considered an important step in the methods used to predict future earthquakes and supports efforts to reduce earthquake risks.
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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