政治稳定与腐败关系:欧洲和亚洲国家的国际视角

D. Beju, Maria Ciupac-Ulici, V. Bresfelean
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引用次数: 0

摘要

设计/方法/途径数据集来自 Refinitiv 数据库,时间跨度为 2014 年 7 月至 2022 年 5 月。采用了面板数据技术,特别是集合估计和动态面板数据[广义矩法(GMM)]。分析包括固定效应和随机效应模型,以捕捉特定国家的横截面效应。为了验证我们的研究结果,我们在调查中加入了四个控制变量,即贫困、治理类型、经济自由度和通货膨胀,从而进行了稳健性测试。实证研究结果证明,在所有分析的欧洲和亚洲国家样本中,政治稳定性(被视为政府不稳定的风险)对腐败有积极而显著的影响,尽管在不同的子样本中观察到一些差异。当我们将控制变量考虑在内时,这些分析结果是稳健的。研究局限/启示本研究使用 GMM 进行面板数据分析,也可使用其他实证方法,如差分法。然而,我们的研究结果应通过将时间和样本扩展到全球样本,并使用其他腐败和政治稳定性衡量标准来验证。此外,我们的重点是所考虑的变量之间的线性和单向关系,但在我们的进一步研究中,对它们之间的非线性和双向相关性进行检验将是很有意义的。此外,我们在稳健性测试中只引入了四个经济变量,但为了巩固我们的研究结果,我们计划在今后的研究中加入社会经济和人口变量。社会影响在微观经济层面,组织的生存可能会受到新型腐败和洗钱活动的威胁。因此,为了防止经济损失,全球顶级企业应通过强化监督程序来应对腐败事件。这就需要在行为准则中建立一个机制,使正确举报可疑腐败情况的程序能够迅速得到通知。为避免业务程序中的腐败,应由国家层面的政府官员、行政人员和立法人员以及组织层面的高级管理层和董事会制定国家计划和政策。这可能会降低组织与腐败相关的额外开支,确保经济增长并改善全球福利。 独创性/价值我们的研究的新颖之处在于,它对欧洲和亚洲国家的大量样本进行了广泛研究,探讨了腐败与政治稳定之间的关系。本文还探讨了经济文献中一个探索较少的话题,即政治稳定对腐败的影响。此外,研究还提出了政策建议,概述了旨在改善政治格局和打击腐败的有效合理措施。
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Political stability and corruption nexus: an international perspective on European and Asian countries
PurposeThis paper aims to investigate the impact of political stability on corruption by drawing upon a sample encompassing both developed and developing European and Asian countries.Design/methodology/approachThe dataset, sourced from the Refinitiv database, spans from July 2014 to May 2022. Panel data techniques, specifically pooled estimation and dynamic panel data [generalized method of moments (GMM)] are employed. The analysis encompasses both fixed and random effects models to capture country-specific cross-sectional effects. To validate our findings, we perform a robustness test by including in the investigation four control variables, namely poverty, type of governance, economic freedom and inflation. To test heterogeneity, the dataset is further divided into two distinct subsamples based on the countries’ locations.FindingsEmpirical findings substantiate that political stability (viewed as the risk of government destabilization) has a positive and significant impact on corruption in all analyzed samples of European and Asian countries, though some differences are observed in various subsamples. When we take into account the control variables, these analysis results are robust.Research limitations/implicationsThis research provided a panel data analysis with GMM, while other empirical methodologies could also be used, like the difference-in-difference approach. However, our results should be validated by extending the time and the sample to a worldwide sample and using alternative measures of corruption and political stability. Moreover, our focus was on a linear and unidirectional relationship between the considered variables, but it would be interesting to test in our further research a non-linear and bidirectional correlation between them. Furthermore, we have introduced in the robustness test only four economic variables, but to consolidate our findings, we plan to include socioeconomic and demographic variables in future studies.Practical implicationsThese outcomes imply that authorities should be aware of the necessity of implementing anti-corruption policies designed to establish effective agencies and enforcement structures for combating systemic corruption, to improve the political environment and the quality of institutions and to apply coherent economic strategies to accelerate economic growth because higher political stability and sustainable development determine a decrease in levels of corruption.Social implicationsAt the microeconomic level, the survival of organizations may be in danger from new types of corruption and money laundering. Therefore, in order to prevent financial harm, the top businesses worldwide should respond to instances of corruption through strengthened supervisory procedures. This calls for the creation of a mechanism inside the code of conduct where correct reporting of suspected situations of corruption would have a prompt procedure to be notified of. To avoid corruption in operational procedures, national plans and policies should be developed by government officials, executives and legislators on a national level, as well as by senior management and the board of directors on an organizational level. This might lower organizations' extra corruption-related expenses, assure economic growth and improve global welfare.Originality/valueA novel feature of our research resides in its broad examination of a sizable sample of European and Asian countries regarding the nexus between corruption and political stability. The paper also investigates a less explored topic in economic literature, namely the impact of political stability on corruption. Furthermore, the study depicts policy recommendations, outlining effective and reasonable measures aimed at improving the political landscape and combating corruption.
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