从国家、性别和时间角度估算病假成本在欧洲 GDP 中的比重

Katarzyna M. Miszczyńska, E. Antczak, Valentina Prevolnik Rupel
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摘要

文章的目的。研究的目的是计算和评估 2006-2020 年期间欧洲国家雇员因病缺勤的成本。另一个目的是分析缺勤成本的变化对经济评估分析中使用的贴现率水平变化的敏感性。方法。对劳动适龄人口缺勤成本的估算和后续评估以人力资本法为基础,采用发病率法、自上而下法、基于流行病学综合数据的回顾性方法进行。作为生产损失量的衡量标准,采用了每个工作人口的国内生产总值。研究结果。研究表明,欧洲各国因病缺勤的成本存在差异,但从地理角度看,没有发现集群关系。此外,按 2006 年价格计算,所有国家的 SACS 都在 1.9% - 2.1% 之间。
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Estimating the Share of Sickness Absence Costs in Europe's GDP – a Country, Gender and Time Perspective
The purpose of the article. The aim of the study was to calculate and evaluate the costs of employee sickness absence in European countries over the period 2006–2020. An additional objective was to analyse the sensitivity of the development of absenteeism costs depending on the changing level of the discount rate used in economic evaluation analyses. Methodology. The estimation and subsequent assessment of absenteeism of working-age people costs was based on human-capital approach and was carried out retrospectively using the morbidity, top-down approach, based on aggregated epidemiological data. As a measure of production loss volume, GDP per working person was adopted. Results of the research. The study indicated that there is variation in the cost of sickness absence across European countries, but no clustering relationship was identified from a geographic perspective. In addition, SACS is in the range of 1,9% – 2,1% in all countries in 2006 prices.
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