中国东南部热带和非热带气旋诱发降雨的时空变化及与气候指数的远缘关系

Yuanyuan Zhou, Liang Gao
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摘要

本研究探讨了1960-2017年间中国东南地区由热带气旋和非热带气旋引起的年降水量(TCR和NTCR)的时空变化。研究还探讨了与海表温度、北极涛动、南方涛动和印度洋偶极子之间的遥联系。研究发现,珠江流域年 TCR 明显减少,而珠江流域东北部和长江流域南部年暴雨 TCR 则有所增加。发现了一个 TCR 北移带,年 TCR 的明显异常也表明了这一点。在中国东南部,非热带气旋引起的中雨、大雨和暴雨总体上呈上升趋势。与非热带气旋引起的暴雨相比,非热带气旋引起的异常暴雨更偏北。每月的 TCR 和 NTCR 都受到北极涛动、南方涛动和印度洋偶极子的显著影响。与 NTCR 相比,TCR 更容易受到北极涛动的影响。
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Spatiotemporal variations of tropical and non-tropical cyclone-induced rainfall over southeast China and the teleconnections to climatic indices
The spatiotemporal variations of annual tropical cyclone- and non-tropical cyclone-induced rainfall (TCR and NTCR) during 1960 – 2017 in Southeast China are investigated in this study. The teleconnections to sea surface temperature, Arctic Oscillation, Southern Oscillation, and Indian Ocean Dipole are examined. A significant decrease in annual TCR in the Pearl River Basin was detected, while an increase in annual TCR in rainstorms was observed in the northeast of the Pearl River Basin and south of the Yangtze River Basin. Northward migration of a TCR belt was identified, which was also indicated by the pronounced anomalies of annual TCR. There was in general an increasing trend of non-tropical cyclone-induced moderate rain, heavy rain, and rainstorms in Southeast China. Compared with the non-tropical cyclone-induced heavy rain, the abnormal non-tropical cyclone-induced rainstorms are more northerly. Both monthly TCR and NTCR were remarkably affected by the Arctic Oscillation, Southern Oscillation, and Indian Ocean Dipole. TCR was more easily affected by Arctic Oscillation compared to NTCR.
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