COVID-19 大流行的相互作用:分析对旅游业动态和经济增长的双重影响

Sabri Klaiqi, Haqif Arifi, Atdhetar Gara, Arber Hoti, Driton Qehaja
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摘要

旅游业是受 Covid-19 大流行病危机打击最严重的行业之一。Covid-19 在全球以及本地区各国造成的危机主要影响了旅游业以及与旅游业相关的其他部门,即酒店业、手工业和运输业,也影响了公共和私营部门的建筑投资和许多其他项目。本文旨在探讨 Covid-19 大流行病对旅游业和经济增长的影响。由于旅游业是受影响最严重的行业之一,几乎所有的旅游中心都关闭了,因此对该行业的影响非常大,造成了很高的损失。同时,还介绍了旅游业的转型潜力和可持续发展政策的影响。本研究使用了两种数据来源,即第一手数据和第二手数据。第一手数据是通过为此设计的调查问卷收集的。同时,二手数据是通过可信机构(如科索沃统计局)的各种报告、科学文章和其他与本文相关的研究来源收集的。在通过具体分析收集必要数据后,对每个值的作用和重要性进行了研究。使用二手数据的研究是在大流行病期间进行的,有 100 名受访者参与了问卷调查。研究分析结果表明,2021 年,科索沃的各国游客大幅减少,但科索沃共和国通过制定和实施各项政策,特别是针对美食行业的政策,放松税收,为员工工资和房租等提供补贴。科索沃共和国实现产业部门的复苏,从而在 2022 年全年大幅增加游客数量。同时,从研究结果中我们看到,科索沃具有旅游性质的企业受到了大流行病的严重影响,但他们希望得到政府不同形式的帮助,以尽可能轻松地克服这一挑战。回归分析的结果表明,在政府采取措施限制游客旅行和关闭边境的情况下,对经济增长的影响是负面的。
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The interplay of the COVID-19 pandemic: Analyzing the dual impacts on tourism dynamics and economic growth
The tourism sector is one of the industries that has been hit the hardest by the Covid-19 pandemic crisis. The crisis caused by Covid-19 in the world but also in the countries of the region, has mostly affected the tourism sector, as well as other sectors related to tourism, namely, the hotel industry, crafts and transport but also investments in construction and numerous other projects, both in the public and private sectors. The purpose of this paper is to see the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the tourism sector and economic growth. Since tourism was one of the most affected sectors and almost.all tourist centers were closed, the impact on this sector is very large, causing high losses. Meanwhile, the transformative potential and the implications for sustainable policies in the development of the tourism sector have also been presented. For this research, two data sources were used, primary and secondary. Primary data was collected through the questionnaire, which was designed for this purpose. Meanwhile, secondary data have been collected through various reports of credible institutions such as the Kosovo Statistics Agency, scientific articles and other sources that have conducted research relevant to our paper. After collecting the necessary data through concrete analysis, the role and importance of each value was examined. The research with secondary data was carried out during the pandemic period, while 100 respondents participated in the questionnaire. The findings from the analysis of the research show that in 2021 there is a large decrease in tourists in Kosovo from all countries, but that the Republic of Kosovo with the development and application of its policies, especially for the gastronomy sector by easing taxes, offering subsidies for employee salaries, rents, etc. The Republic of Kosovo achieves a recovery of the industry sector, thus significantly increasing the number of tourists throughout the year 2022. Meanwhile, from the results of the research, we saw that the businesses with a tourist character in Kosovo are quite affected by the pandemic, but they hope for help in the form of different from the government to overcome this challenge as easily as possible. The findings from the regression analysis show that in cases where the government has applied measures to limit travel and close borders for tourists, the impact on economic growth has been negative.
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