数字经济发展对城市能源消费碳排放强度的影响及其空间验证

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摘要

为探讨数字经济发展对城市能源消费碳排放强度的影响,本文将数字经济发展纳入城市能源消费碳排放强度的减排框架。以中国城市能源消费碳排放强度为研究对象,利用 2012-2022 年城市面板数据,对城市能源消费碳排放强度的影响因素进行了实证检验和动态效应分析。结果发现,数字经济对中国城市能源消费碳排放强度具有显著的抑制作用,系数为-0.348。在选取的五个控制变量中,PCG、UR和IS与城市能源消费碳排放强度呈正相关,分别以0.472、0.135和0.331的影响系数增强了EI;EGRI和TRL与EI呈反相关,分别以-0.556和-0.201的影响系数抑制了EI的增长。在检验结果的基础上,结合中国城市经济发展的实际情况,提出了最大限度降低 EI 的政策建议。
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Influence and its spatial verification of digital economy development on carbon emission intensity from urban energy consumption
In order to explore the influence of digital economy development on carbon emission intensity from urban energy consumption, digital economy development is incorporated into the reduction framework of carbon emission intensity from urban energy consumption in this paper. With carbon emission intensity from urban energy consumption in China taken as the research object, empirical tests and dynamic effect analyses were carried out on the factors influencing carbon emission intensity from urban energy consumption, using urban panel data for the period of 2012–2022. It is found that digital economy has a significant inhibitory effect on carbon emission intensity from urban energy consumption in China, with a coefficient of -0.348. Among the five selected control variables, PCG, UR, and IS show a positive correlation with carbon emission intensity from urban energy consumption, enhancing EI with corresponding influence coefficients of 0.472, 0.135, and 0.331 respectively; EGRI and TRL show an inverse correlation with EI, inhibiting the growth of EI with corresponding influence coefficients of -0.556 and -0.201, respectively. Policy suggestions were put forward to minimize EI on the basis of the test results combined with the actual situation of China's urban economic development.
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