基于 GIS 和 AHP 的决策系统评估光伏电站的最佳位置:北马其顿共和国案例研究

Vancho Adjiski, D. Serafimovski
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究采用地理信息系统 (GIS) 和层次分析法 (AHP) 来确定北马其顿共和国光伏 (PV) 太阳能发电场的最佳位置。它利用六项标准(太阳辐照度、地势、坡度、与输电线、道路和城市地区的距离)和六项限制(城市居民点、农业区、国家公园、水体、陡坡、海拔 1500 米以上)来评估土地的适宜性。利用配对比较矩阵绘制了适宜性地图,并计算了每项标准的权重。该地图分为四类:非常适合、适合、不太适合和不适合。结果显示,11.6% 的研究区域被划分为高度适宜区,40.1% 为适宜区,3.6% 为不太适宜区,0.8% 为不适宜区。此外,限制区(包括国家公园、住宅区和农田、海拔 1500 米以上的地区以及缓冲区为 1000 米的水面)占研究区域的 43.7%。仅利用 0.6% 的高适宜度土地来发展光伏技术,每年就能产生约 2870 千兆瓦时的电量,足以满足马其顿八个行政区工业部门的平均用电需求。这项研究为太阳能规划提供了一种可复制的基于地理信息系统的方法,有助于可持续发展,并为将太阳能光伏系统纳入国家能源战略提供了真知灼见。
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GIS- and AHP-based Decision Systems for Evaluating Optimal Locations of Photovoltaic Power Plants: Case Study of Republic of North Macedonia
This study employs a geographic information system (GIS) and an analytical hierarchy process (AHP) to identify optimal locations for photovoltaic (PV) solar farms in the Republic of North Macedonia. It assesses land suitability using six criteria (solar irradiance, aspect, slope, distance from power lines, roads, and urban areas) and six constraints (urban settlements, agricultural zones, national parks, water bodies, steep slopes, elevations above 1500 m). A suitability map was created using a matrix of pairwise comparisons, and the weights for each criterion were calculated. The map was divided into four categories: highly suitable, suitable, less suitable, and unsuitable. The results showed that 11.6% of the study area was classified as being highly suitable, 40.1% as suitable, 3.6% as less suitable, and 0.8% as unsuitable. Additionally, restricted areas (comprised of national parks, residential and agricultural lands, elevations above 1500 m, and water surfaces with 1000 m buffer zones) accounted for 43.7% of the study area. Utilizing just 0.6% of highly suitable land for PV technology could generate approximately 2870 GWh annually, enough to meet the average electricity needs of the industrial sector across the eight administrative regions of R. N. Macedonia. The study offers a replicable GIS-based approach for solar energy planning, contributing to sustainable development and providing insights for integrating solar PV systems into the national energy strategy.
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来源期刊
Geomatics and Environmental Engineering
Geomatics and Environmental Engineering Earth and Planetary Sciences-Computers in Earth Sciences
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
27
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