基于改进的经验小波变换分解和长短期记忆网络的巨浪高度预测混合模型

IF 3.1 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI:10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102367
Jin Wang , Brandon J. Bethel , Wenhong Xie , Changming Dong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于具有很强的非线性,海洋表面重力波很难直接准确地预测,尽管它对沿海、近岸和近海的各种活动非常重要。为了尽量减少预报误差,提出了一种改进的经验小波变换分解(IEWT)和长短期记忆网络(LSTM)混合组合模型。以部署在北太平洋的国家数据浮标中心浮标的数据为例,对模型进行了验证。使用 LSTM、EWT-LSTM 和 IWET-LSTM 模型进行的波浪预报与 6、12、18、24 和 48 小时预报窗口的观测结果进行了比较。结果表明,IEWT-LSTM 优于 EWT-LSTM 或 LSTM 模型,尤其是在较长的预报窗口内对较大波浪的预报。
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A hybrid model for significant wave height prediction based on an improved empirical wavelet transform decomposition and long-short term memory network

Due to strong non-linearity, ocean surface gravity waves are difficult to directly and accurately predict, despite their importance for a wide range of coastal, nearshore, and offshore activities. To minimize forecast errors, a hybrid combined improved empirical wavelet transform decomposition (IEWT) and long-short term memory network (LSTM) model has been proposed. Data from National Data Buoy Center buoys deployed in the North Pacific Ocean are taken as an example to verify the models. Wave forecasts using the LSTM, EWT-LSTM, and IWET-LSTM models are compared with the observations at 6, 12, 18, 24 and 48 h forecast windows. Consequently, IEWT-LSTM is superior to EWT-LSTM or LSTM models, especially for larger waves at longer long forecast windows.

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来源期刊
Ocean Modelling
Ocean Modelling 地学-海洋学
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
9.40%
发文量
86
审稿时长
19.6 weeks
期刊介绍: The main objective of Ocean Modelling is to provide rapid communication between those interested in ocean modelling, whether through direct observation, or through analytical, numerical or laboratory models, and including interactions between physical and biogeochemical or biological phenomena. Because of the intimate links between ocean and atmosphere, involvement of scientists interested in influences of either medium on the other is welcome. The journal has a wide scope and includes ocean-atmosphere interaction in various forms as well as pure ocean results. In addition to primary peer-reviewed papers, the journal provides review papers, preliminary communications, and discussions.
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