基于代理的市场模拟中的强化学习:揭示真实的风格化事实和行为

Zhiyuan Yao, Zheng Li, Matthew Thomas, Ionut Florescu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

投资者和监管者可以从逼真的市场模拟器中获益匪浅,这种模拟器可以让他们预测自己的决策在真实市场中的后果。然而,传统的基于规则的市场模拟器往往无法准确捕捉市场参与者的动态行为,尤其是对外部市场影响事件或其他参与者行为变化的反应。在本研究中,我们探索了一种采用强化学习(RL)代理的基于代理的模拟框架。我们介绍了这些 RL 代理的实现细节,并证明模拟市场展现了在现实世界市场中观察到的逼真的风格化事实。此外,我们还研究了 RL 代理在面对闪崩等外部市场影响时的行为。我们的研究结果阐明了基于 RL 的代理在模拟中的有效性和适应性,为它们应对重大市场事件提供了启示。
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Reinforcement Learning in Agent-Based Market Simulation: Unveiling Realistic Stylized Facts and Behavior
Investors and regulators can greatly benefit from a realistic market simulator that enables them to anticipate the consequences of their decisions in real markets. However, traditional rule-based market simulators often fall short in accurately capturing the dynamic behavior of market participants, particularly in response to external market impact events or changes in the behavior of other participants. In this study, we explore an agent-based simulation framework employing reinforcement learning (RL) agents. We present the implementation details of these RL agents and demonstrate that the simulated market exhibits realistic stylized facts observed in real-world markets. Furthermore, we investigate the behavior of RL agents when confronted with external market impacts, such as a flash crash. Our findings shed light on the effectiveness and adaptability of RL-based agents within the simulation, offering insights into their response to significant market events.
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