Peixuan Li, Chuangyin Dang, P. Jean-Jacques Herings
{"title":"计算随机博弈中的完全静止均衡","authors":"Peixuan Li, Chuangyin Dang, P. Jean-Jacques Herings","doi":"10.1007/s00199-024-01565-w","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>The notion of stationary equilibrium is one of the most crucial solution concepts in stochastic games. However, a stochastic game can have multiple stationary equilibria, some of which may be unstable or counterintuitive. As a refinement of stationary equilibrium, we extend the concept of perfect equilibrium in strategic games to stochastic games and formulate the notion of perfect stationary equilibrium (PeSE). To further promote its applications, we develop a differentiable homotopy method to compute such an equilibrium. We incorporate vanishing logarithmic barrier terms into the payoff functions, thereby constituting a logarithmic-barrier stochastic game. As a result of this barrier game, we attain a continuously differentiable homotopy system. To reduce the number of variables in the homotopy system, we eliminate the Bellman equations through a replacement of variables and derive an equivalent system. We use the equivalent system to establish the existence of a smooth path, which starts from an arbitrary total mixed strategy profile and ends at a PeSE. Extensive numerical experiments, including relevant applications like dynamic oligopoly models and dynamic legislative voting, further affirm the effectiveness and efficiency of the method.</p>","PeriodicalId":47982,"journal":{"name":"Economic Theory","volume":"42 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Computing perfect stationary equilibria in stochastic games\",\"authors\":\"Peixuan Li, Chuangyin Dang, P. Jean-Jacques Herings\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s00199-024-01565-w\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>The notion of stationary equilibrium is one of the most crucial solution concepts in stochastic games. However, a stochastic game can have multiple stationary equilibria, some of which may be unstable or counterintuitive. As a refinement of stationary equilibrium, we extend the concept of perfect equilibrium in strategic games to stochastic games and formulate the notion of perfect stationary equilibrium (PeSE). To further promote its applications, we develop a differentiable homotopy method to compute such an equilibrium. We incorporate vanishing logarithmic barrier terms into the payoff functions, thereby constituting a logarithmic-barrier stochastic game. As a result of this barrier game, we attain a continuously differentiable homotopy system. To reduce the number of variables in the homotopy system, we eliminate the Bellman equations through a replacement of variables and derive an equivalent system. We use the equivalent system to establish the existence of a smooth path, which starts from an arbitrary total mixed strategy profile and ends at a PeSE. Extensive numerical experiments, including relevant applications like dynamic oligopoly models and dynamic legislative voting, further affirm the effectiveness and efficiency of the method.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47982,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Theory\",\"volume\":\"42 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-04-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Theory\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-024-01565-w\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Theory","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-024-01565-w","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
静态均衡的概念是随机博弈中最关键的解法概念之一。然而,一个随机博弈可能有多个固定均衡,其中一些可能不稳定或违背直觉。作为对静态均衡的细化,我们将策略博弈中的完全均衡概念扩展到了随机博弈,并提出了完全静态均衡(PeSE)的概念。为了进一步推广其应用,我们开发了一种计算这种均衡的可微分同调方法。我们在报酬函数中加入了消失的对数障碍项,从而构成了对数障碍随机博弈。通过这种障碍博弈,我们得到了一个连续可微的同调系统。为了减少同调系统中的变量数量,我们通过变量替换消除了贝尔曼方程,并推导出一个等价系统。我们利用该等价系统建立了一条平滑路径的存在性,该路径从任意总混合策略剖面出发,以 PeSE 为终点。广泛的数值实验,包括动态寡头垄断模型和动态立法投票等相关应用,进一步肯定了该方法的有效性和效率。
Computing perfect stationary equilibria in stochastic games
The notion of stationary equilibrium is one of the most crucial solution concepts in stochastic games. However, a stochastic game can have multiple stationary equilibria, some of which may be unstable or counterintuitive. As a refinement of stationary equilibrium, we extend the concept of perfect equilibrium in strategic games to stochastic games and formulate the notion of perfect stationary equilibrium (PeSE). To further promote its applications, we develop a differentiable homotopy method to compute such an equilibrium. We incorporate vanishing logarithmic barrier terms into the payoff functions, thereby constituting a logarithmic-barrier stochastic game. As a result of this barrier game, we attain a continuously differentiable homotopy system. To reduce the number of variables in the homotopy system, we eliminate the Bellman equations through a replacement of variables and derive an equivalent system. We use the equivalent system to establish the existence of a smooth path, which starts from an arbitrary total mixed strategy profile and ends at a PeSE. Extensive numerical experiments, including relevant applications like dynamic oligopoly models and dynamic legislative voting, further affirm the effectiveness and efficiency of the method.
期刊介绍:
The purpose of Economic Theory is to provide an outlet for research - in all areas of economics based on rigorous theoretical reasoning, and
- on specific topics in mathematics which is motivated by the analysis of economic problems. Economic Theory''s scope encompasses - but is not limited to - the following fields. - classical and modern equilibrium theory
- cooperative and non-cooperative game theory
- macroeconomics
- social choice and welfare
- uncertainty and information, intertemporal economics (including dynamical systems)
- public economics
- international and developmental economics
- financial economics, money and banking
- industrial organization Economic Theory also publishes surveys if they clearly picture the basic ideas at work in some areas, the essential technical apparatus which is used and the central questions which remain open. The development of a productive dialectic between stylized facts and abstract formulations requires that economic relevance be at the forefront. Thus, correct, and innovative, mathematical analysis is not enough; it must be motivated by - and contribute to - the understanding of substantive economic problems.
Officially cited as: Econ Theory