具有完全预付和违约风险的抵押贷款的初始估值

IF 1 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI:10.1007/s11009-024-10081-2
Congjin Zhou, Guojing Wang, Yinghui Dong, Pin Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们利用具有制度转换的简化模型研究了具有全额提前还款和违约风险的抵押贷款合同的估值问题。全额预付和违约的危险率分别是无风险利率和房价的线性函数,而无风险利率和房价的特征是具有制度转换的奥恩斯坦-乌伦贝克过程。为了推导出明确的估值公式,我们利用均匀化技术推导出有限时间内双态马尔可夫过程的转换次数分布以及转换时间的条件联合概率密度函数。最后,我们分析了参数对抵押估值的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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The Valuation at Origination of Mortgages with Full Prepayment and Default Risks

We investigate the valuation problem of a mortgage contract with full prepayment and default risks using the reduced-form model with regime switching. The hazard rates of full prepayment and default are specified as linear functions of the risk-free interest rate and house prices, respectively, which are characterized by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with regime switching. To derive the explicit valuation formula, we derive the distribution of the number of transitions for two-state Markov processes in finite time and the conditional joint probability density function of transition times using the uniformization technique. Finally, we analyze the effect of parameters on the valuation of the mortgage.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
58
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability will publish high quality research and review articles in the areas of applied probability that emphasize methodology and computing. Of special interest are articles in important areas of applications that include detailed case studies. Applied probability is a broad research area that is of interest to many scientists in diverse disciplines including: anthropology, biology, communication theory, economics, epidemiology, finance, linguistics, meteorology, operations research, psychology, quality control, reliability theory, sociology and statistics. The following alphabetical listing of topics of interest to the journal is not intended to be exclusive but to demonstrate the editorial policy of attracting papers which represent a broad range of interests: -Algorithms- Approximations- Asymptotic Approximations & Expansions- Combinatorial & Geometric Probability- Communication Networks- Extreme Value Theory- Finance- Image Analysis- Inequalities- Information Theory- Mathematical Physics- Molecular Biology- Monte Carlo Methods- Order Statistics- Queuing Theory- Reliability Theory- Stochastic Processes
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