从资源诅咒到绿色增长:探索能源利用和自然资源丰度在经济发展中的作用

IF 3.5 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Natural Resources Forum Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI:10.1111/1477-8947.12461
Muhammad Imran, Md Shabbir Alam, Zhang Jijian, Ilhan Ozturk, Salman Wahab, Mesut Doğan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究深入探讨了资源诅咒假说在 1991 年至 2022 年间对巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非(金砖五国)的深刻影响,研究了自然资源丰度、能源消耗和经济发展(ED)之间错综复杂的相互作用。在方法上,它采用横截面增强 Dickey-Fuller 检验来评估静态性,并利用 Westerlund 协整技术来分析协整性。随后,采用横截面增强自回归分布滞后模型来探讨自然资源可用性、可再生能源和不可再生能源利用率以及碳排放量对这些国家的能源消耗的影响。研究结果揭示了一个严酷的现实,即碳排放和不可再生能源消费对金砖五国短期和长期经济增长都产生了持续的积极影响。尤其引人注目的是不可再生能源消费的主导影响。然而,与此形成鲜明对比的是,过高的资源和煤炭租金产生了不利影响,这表明自然资源的过度开采可能会导致经济倒退。此外,可再生能源的次优利用也暗示了对教育的不利影响。这些结果超越了发展中国家的局限,强调了资源诅咒假说的普遍性,对发展中国家和发达国家都有影响。研究揭示了过度依赖和过度开发自然资源的内在严重风险,阐明了竞争的加剧严重阻碍了金砖国家短期和长期的经济发展轨迹。决策者必须优先考虑经济多样化,实施可持续资源管理,并投资于创新技术,以缓解金砖国家的资源诅咒,促进复原力和可持续经济增长。总之,本研究凸显了资源诅咒对金砖国家的严重影响,强调必须进行有效的资源管理,以应对过度依赖不可再生资源所带来的风险,促进可持续经济增长。
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From resource curse to green growth: Exploring the role of energy utilization and natural resource abundance in economic development
This study delves into the profound repercussions of the resource curse hypothesis within the Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS) nations from 1991 to 2022, examining the intricate interplay among natural resource abundance, energy consumption, and economic development (ED). Methodologically, it employs the cross‐sectionally augmented Dickey–Fuller test to assess stationarity and utilizes the Westerlund cointegration technique to analyze cointegration. Subsequently, the cross‐sectionally augmented autoregressive distributive lag model is deployed to explore the impact of natural resource availability, renewable and non‐renewable energy utilization, and carbon emissions on ED within these countries. The findings reveal a stark reality wherein both carbon emissions and non‐renewable energy consumption wield a consistently positive influence on short‐ and long‐term economic growth across the BRICS economies. Particularly striking is the dominant impact of non‐renewable energy consumption. However, this comes in stark contrast to the adverse effects identified with excessive resource and coal rents, signifying potential economic setbacks arising from rampant natural resource exploitation. Furthermore, the suboptimal utilization of renewable energy resources hints at a detrimental effect on ED. These results transcend the confines of developing nations, underscoring the universality of the resource curse hypothesis, affecting both developing and developed countries. The study illuminates the grave risks inherent in overreliance and overexploitation of natural resources, elucidating heightened competition that severely impedes the ED trajectory of the BRICS countries in both short and long terms. Policymakers must prioritize economic diversification, implement sustainable resource management, and invest in innovative technologies to mitigate the resource curse in BRICS nations, fostering resilience and sustainable economic growth. In conclusion, This study highlights the severe impact of the resource curse in BRICS nations, stressing the imperative for adept resource management to counter the risks linked with overdependence on non‐renewable resources and bolster sustainable economic growth.
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来源期刊
Natural Resources Forum
Natural Resources Forum 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
6.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
>36 weeks
期刊介绍: Natural Resources Forum, a United Nations Sustainable Development Journal, focuses on international, multidisciplinary issues related to sustainable development, with an emphasis on developing countries. The journal seeks to address gaps in current knowledge and stimulate policy discussions on the most critical issues associated with the sustainable development agenda, by promoting research that integrates the social, economic, and environmental dimensions of sustainable development. Contributions that inform the global policy debate through pragmatic lessons learned from experience at the local, national, and global levels are encouraged. The Journal considers articles written on all topics relevant to sustainable development. In addition, it dedicates series, issues and special sections to specific themes that are relevant to the current discussions of the United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development (CSD). Articles must be based on original research and must be relevant to policy-making. Criteria for selection of submitted articles include: 1) Relevance and importance of the topic discussed to sustainable development in general, both in terms of policy impacts and gaps in current knowledge being addressed by the article; 2) Treatment of the topic that incorporates social, economic and environmental aspects of sustainable development, rather than focusing purely on sectoral and/or technical aspects; 3) Articles must contain original applied material drawn from concrete projects, policy implementation, or literature reviews; purely theoretical papers are not entertained.
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