多变量随机协方差模型下 n 个参与者的稳健资产负债管理博弈

IF 1.9 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Insurance Mathematics & Economics Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2024.04.001
Ning Wang , Yumo Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了 n 个竞争性 CARA 资产负债经理人之间的非零和随机差分博弈。模糊规避型经理人受制于由广义漂移布朗运动驱动的不可控和特异性随机负债,并可进入由多元随机协方差模型下的无风险资产、市场指数和股票组成的不完全金融市场。市场动态不仅允许风险资产之间存在随机相关性,还允许风险溢价和波动率的路径依赖性和时变性,这取决于两个仿射扩散因子过程。每个经理人的目标都是在替代措施的最坏情况下,最大化其最终盈余相对于竞争对手平均值的预期指数效用。我们采用后向随机微分方程的方法来解决这个稳健的非马尔可夫随机微分博弈。我们推导出了稳健纳什均衡投资政策的明确表达式、定义明确的最坏情况概率措施下的密度生成过程以及相应的价值函数。我们还提供了稳健均衡策略的可接受性条件。最后,我们通过一些数值示例来说明模型参数对均衡投资策略的影响,并从这些结果中得出一些经济学解释。
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Robust asset-liability management games for n players under multivariate stochastic covariance models

This paper investigates a non-zero-sum stochastic differential game among n competitive CARA asset-liability managers, who are concerned about the potential model ambiguity and aim to seek the robust investment strategies. The ambiguity-averse managers are subject to uncontrollable and idiosyncratic random liabilities driven by generalized drifted Brownian motions and have access to an incomplete financial market consisting of a risk-free asset, a market index and a stock under a multivariate stochastic covariance model. The market dynamics permit not only stochastic correlation between the risky assets but also path-dependent and time-varying risk premium and volatility, depending on two affine-diffusion factor processes. The objective of each manager is to maximize the expected exponential utility of his terminal surplus relative to the average among his competitors under the worst-case scenario of the alternative measures. We manage to solve this robust non-Markovian stochastic differential game by using a backward stochastic differential equation approach. Explicit expressions for the robust Nash equilibrium investment policies, the density generator processes under the well-defined worst-case probability measures and the corresponding value functions are derived. Conditions for the admissibility of the robust equilibrium strategies are provided. Finally, we perform some numerical examples to illustrate the influence of model parameters on the equilibrium investment strategies and draw some economic interpretations from these results.

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来源期刊
Insurance Mathematics & Economics
Insurance Mathematics & Economics 管理科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
15.80%
发文量
90
审稿时长
17.3 weeks
期刊介绍: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics publishes leading research spanning all fields of actuarial science research. It appears six times per year and is the largest journal in actuarial science research around the world. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics is an international academic journal that aims to strengthen the communication between individuals and groups who develop and apply research results in actuarial science. The journal feels a particular obligation to facilitate closer cooperation between those who conduct research in insurance mathematics and quantitative insurance economics, and practicing actuaries who are interested in the implementation of the results. To this purpose, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics publishes high-quality articles of broad international interest, concerned with either the theory of insurance mathematics and quantitative insurance economics or the inventive application of it, including empirical or experimental results. Articles that combine several of these aspects are particularly considered.
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