选举团对总统任务和议程的影响

Bilal Ahmed
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摘要

选举团每四年选举一次美国总统。鉴于选举团将选举总统的权力赋予各州的选票,近年来,由于 2000 年的乔治-布什和 2016 年的唐纳德-特朗普这两位总统在没有赢得全国普选的情况下,选举团制度引发了越来越多的争议。这些选举以及围绕这些选举的公共讨论为选举团的目的和影响带来了新的生机。本文通过约翰-昆西-亚当斯(John Quincy Adams)、安德鲁-杰克逊(Andrew Jackson)、本杰明-哈里森(Benjamin Harrison)、伍德罗-威尔逊(Woodrow Wilson)、唐纳德-特朗普(Donald Trump)和乔-拜登(Joe Biden)等重要总统选举,深入探讨现在应如何理解选举团。本文特别探讨了选举团对一个基本问题的影响:通过选举团途径当选总统是否会从根本上影响总统有效施政的能力?对这些选举、选举前后的背景和影响以及美国现代政治史的研究表明,当选举团不是选举周期中一个特殊或异常引人注目的部分时,选举团不会从根本上影响总统获得有效执政所需的公众和政治支持的能力。然而,当选举团在总统选举期间和总统任期之初成为焦点时,它就会产生广泛的影响。特别是,选举团可能会影响总统的政治和公众授权,影响其在任期间的总体议程;导致对某些州和保守政治的偏见;削弱总统作为团结人物的能力。随着每次现代选举对选举团的关注度越来越高,如果不进行认真的改革,选举团制度很可能会在每次选举中导致两极分化和紧张局势加剧。
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The Electoral College’s Impact on Presidential Mandates and Agendas
The Electoral College is the method used in every four years to elect the President of the United States. Given that the Electoral College gives the power to elect the president to state-casted votes, the system has in recent years become a source of growing controversy given how two presidents, George Bush in 2000 and Donald Trump in 2016, without winning the national popular vote. These elections and the public discourse around them have brought new life to the purpose and impacts of the Electoral College.  This paper uses key presidential elections, including those of John Quincy Adams, Andrew Jackson, Benjamin Harrison, Woodrow Wilson, Donald Trump, and Joe Biden, give insight on how the Electoral College should now be understood. In particular, this paper examines the implications of the Electoral College on one fundamental question: Does election to the presidency via the Electoral College route fundamentally affect the ability of a president to govern effectively?  Examining these elections, the context around and impact after these elections, and modern United States political history shows that when the Electoral College is not an extraordinary or exceptionally notable part of an election cycle, the Electoral College does not fundamentally affect the president’s ability to command public and political support required to effectively govern. However, when the Electoral College does become a point of focus during a presidential election and in the beginning of a president’s term, it has wide-ranging impacts. In particular, the College can shape the political and public mandate the president has to lead, shaping their overall agenda for their time in office; cause biases to arise towards certain states and conservative politics; and undermine their ability to serve as a unifying figure. With each modern election having an increased focus on the Electoral College, the system is likely to cause increased polarization and tension with each passing election if serious reforms are not undertaken.
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