鲁棒多级协同设计探索制造供应网络的决策支持框架

Mathew Baby, Akshay Guptan, Jacob Broussard, J. Allen, F. Mistree, Anand Balu Nellippallil
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摘要

制造供应网络(MSN)的设计需要考虑不同群体在多个层面上做出的决策,以及他们之间的互动,包括潜在的冲突。决策通常是基于计算模拟的信息做出的,而计算模拟是对现实的抽象,因此具有不确定性。因此,有必要专注于设计空间探索,以确定对不确定性相对不敏感的稳健满意度解决方案集。目前支持鲁棒性满足设计空间探索的框架在同时支持多层次设计空间的高效探索方面能力有限。在本文中,我们提出了鲁棒多层次协同设计探索框架(FRoMCoDE),这是一个决策支持框架,允许设计人员 i) 对跨多层次的决策问题及其相互作用进行建模;ii) 考虑决策问题中的不确定性;ii) 可视化并系统地对多层次设计空间进行同步探索,即协同设计探索。在 FRoMCoDE 中,我们将耦合折中决策支持问题结构(其中结合使用了抢先式和阿基米德式)与稳健设计结构和基于可解释自组织图(iSOM)的可视化相结合,以促进稳健协同设计。我们使用一个在两个层面上做出决策的钢铁 MSN 问题来测试该框架。通过该问题,我们证明了 FRoMCoDE 在以下方面的功效:i)考虑不确定性,为多层次决策问题及其相互作用建模;ii)对多层次设计空间进行高效的协同设计探索。FRoMCoDE 具有通用性,可支持设计人员对多层次系统进行稳健的协同设计探索。
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A Decision Support Framework for Robust Multilevel Co-Design Exploration of Manufacturing Supply Networks
Design of a manufacturing supply network (MSN) requires the consideration of decisions made by different groups at multiple levels and their interactions that include potential conflicts. Decisions are typically made based on information from computational simulations that are abstractions of reality and, therefore, embody uncertainty. This necessitates focusing on design space exploration to identify robust satisficing solution sets that are relatively insensitive to uncertainty. Current frameworks that support robust satisficing design space exploration are limited by their capability to support the efficient exploration of multilevel design spaces simultaneously. In this paper, we present the Framework for Robust Multilevel Co-Design Exploration (FRoMCoDE), a decision support framework that allows designers to i) model decision problems across multiple levels and their interactions, ii) consider uncertainties in the decision problems, and ii) visualize and systematically carry out simultaneous exploration of multilevel design spaces, termed co-design exploration. In FRoMCoDE, we combine the coupled compromise Decision Support Problem construct, where a combination of the Preemptive and Archimedean formulations is used, with robust design constructs and interpretable-Self Organizing Maps (iSOM) based visualization to facilitate robust co-design. We use a steel MSN problem with decisions made at two levels to test the framework. Using the problem, we demonstrate FRoMCoDE's efficacy in supporting designers in i) modeling multilevel decision problems and their interactions, considering the uncertainties, and ii) the efficient co-design exploration of multilevel design spaces. FRoMCoDE is generic and supports designers in the robust co-design exploration of multilevel systems.
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