气候变化下奥巴盆地和卡尔巴山脊北坡河流的年径流量

Rustam G. Abdrakhimov, Adil Abirov, Serik Sairov
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摘要

研究了奥巴河流域和卡尔宾斯基山脉河流年平均径流量的形成规律,分析了气象特征--根据东哈萨克斯坦气象站的数据,年平均气温和年降水量。确定了水文气象指标的变化趋势,主要是这些特征在气候变暖条件下的标准。计算了现代各种供水的年均耗水量。分析表明,自 1980 年以来的长期时期内,流域内相关河流的年流量有所减少。埃尔蒂斯河左岸支流的流量分别为 10.6%和 2.7%。值得注意的是,自 2010 年初以来,额尔齐斯河左岸河流的年降水量和年均水流量呈上升趋势,这一趋势随后可能会趋于稳定,并在未来导致境内降水量和额尔齐斯河右岸支流流量的增加。
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ANNUAL RUNOFF OF RIVERS IN THE OBA BASIN AND THE NORTHERN SLOPE OF THE KALBA RIDGE UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE
The patterns of formation of the average annual runoff in the basin of the Oba River and the rivers of the Kalbinsky Range were studied, meteorological characteristics were analyzed - average annual air temperatures and annual precipitation according to weather stations in Eastern Kazakhstan. Trends in changes in hydrometeorological indicators, and primarily the norms of these characteristics in conditions of climate warming, have been identified. The average annual water consumption of various water supplies in the modern period has been calculated. The analysis showed that over the long-term period since 1980, the annual flow of the rivers in question has decreased in the river basin. Both are 10.6% and 2.7% of the left bank tributaries of the Ertis. It should be noted that the emerging trend of increasing annual precipitation and average annual water flows of the rivers on the left bank of the Ertis since the beginning of 2010 may subsequently become stable, and in the future should lead to an increase in precipitation in the territory and the flow of the right-bank tributaries of the Ertis.
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