面向未来的技能--未来的工作可能需要什么?

József Boros
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人工智能和机器人技术的进步使许多高级认知技能的自动化成为可能,但不同的工作和职业可能会受到技术发展的不同影响。高技能职业受自动化影响的风险较小,因为它们也需要技能和能力,而这些技能和能力仍然是自动化的重要瓶颈。然而,根据经合组织 2022 年的研究结果,面临自动化风险最大的工作不会完全消失,因为这些职业所需的技能和能力中只有 18-27% 是高度可自动化的。在我的研究中,我的目的是根据近年来的文献,总结出在不久的将来,由于技术发展而可能使工人具备满足不同工作场所需求的关键技能。我在 Scopus 数据库中对未来工作、工作场所、职业、技能、能力和胜任力进行了关键词搜索。我将搜索结果缩小到 2021-2023 年期间、英文期刊文章、经济和商业领域以及与作者文章相关的关键词。除这些文章外,我还查阅了其他相关专业组织(经合组织、世界经济论坛)在此期间的报告材料。在研究结果中,我还讨论了大学和其他教育机构在满足第四次工业革命的就业期望方面的作用,以确保它们能够提供尽可能符合市场期望的技能。 我将重点介绍酒店业确定的 69 项顶级技能及其分组,以及为会计专业人员确定的 4 个重要技能组的要素。我还将介绍企业家应具备的面向未来的技能。总之,我将根据近几年的学术研究结果来阐述对软技能的评价。收集到的结果也可作为个人人力资本投资决策、组织培训甚至教育机构培训框架设计的有用信息。
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Jövőbiztos készségek – Várhatóan mire lesz szükség a jövő munkahelyein?
Advances in Artificial Intelligence and robotics have made it possible to automate many high-level cognitive skills, but different jobs and occupations may be affected differently by technological developments. High-skilled occupations are less at risk of automation, as they also require skills and competences that remain important bottlenecks to automation. However, according to OECD 2022 results, the jobs most at risk from automation will not disappear completely, as only 18-27% of the skills and competences required in these occupations are highly automatable. Rather, it is likely that the organisation of work will need to be radically changed and that workers in these jobs will need to retrain as technology replaces workers in many tasks. In my study, I aim to summarise, based on the literature of recent years, the key skills that will potentially equip workers for the diverse workplace demands of the near future, arising from technological developments. I conducted a keyword search of the Scopus database for future jobs, workplaces, occupations, skills, abilities and competences. I narrowed down the search results to the period 2021-2023, English language journal articles, economic and business fields and relevant keywords associated with the articles by the authors. In addition to these articles, I also reviewed the reporting materials of other relevant professional organisations (OECD, World Economic Forum) for the period. The geographical, regional and territorial differentiation of the studies was taken into account. In my findings, I have also discussed the role of universities and other educational institutions in meeting the employability expectations of the Fourth Industrial Revolution in order to ensure that they can provide skills that are as relevant as possible to market expectations.  I will highlight the top 69 skills identified in the hospitality industry and their groupings, and the elements of the 4 important skill groups identified for accountancy professionals. I also cover the future-proof skills that entrepreneurs are expected to have. In general, I will describe the appreciation of soft skills based on the academic findings of recent years. The results collected can also serve as useful information for individual human capital investment decisions, organisational training and even the design of training frameworks for educational institutions.
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