利用 GPM IMERG 30 分钟近实时降水估算值评估降水事件

Jessica R. P. Sutton, D. Kirschbaum, Thomas Stanley, E. Orland
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摘要

准确探测和估计近实时(NRT)降水量对于早期探测和监测水文气象灾害至关重要。降水产品 "全球降水任务多卫星综合检索(IMERG)"可提供全球 0.1°和 30 分钟的近实时降水估算,延迟时间仅为 4 小时。本研究是对 GPM IMERG 第 6 版第 3 级早期运行 30 分钟降水量产品进行评估,评估对象为 2014 年至 2020 年的降水事件。这项研究的目的是确定 GPM IMERG 在美国加利福尼亚州、内华达州、亚利桑那州和犹他州何时、何地以及为何错误识别和未能检测到降水事件。降水事件是根据测量仪的 15 分钟降水量和 IMERG 多卫星星座的 30 分钟降水量确定的。对假阳性和假阴性降水事件进行了识别和分析,以确定其特征。与 GPM IMERG 识别的降水事件相比,测量仪识别的降水事件持续时间更长,累积降水量更高。GPM IMERG 在夏季有许多错误事件检测,表明可能检测到了 virga 事件,即降水从云层降下,但在到达地面之前就蒸发了。合并的被动微波 (PMW) 产品和前向传播的频率和时间是 IMERG 在某些降水事件中高估累积降水量和低估其他降水量的原因。这项工作可为使用 GPM IMERG NRT 产品的专家提供信息,使他们注意到 GPM IMERG 估算的降水事件可能无法完全反映造成这些灾害的水文气象条件。
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Evaluating precipitation events using GPM IMERG 30-minute near real-time precipitation estimates
Accurately detecting and estimating precipitation at near real-time (NRT) is of utmost importance for early detection and monitoring of hydrometeorological hazards. The precipitation product, Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for the Global Precipitation Mission (IMERG), provides NRT 0.1° and 30-minute precipitation estimates across the globe with only a 4-hour latency. This study was an evaluation of the GPM IMERG version 6 level-3 Early Run 30-minute precipitation product for precipitation events from 2014 through 2020. The purpose of this research was to identify when, where, and why GPM IMERG misidentified and failed to detect precipitation events in California, Nevada, Arizona, and Utah in the United States. Precipitation events were identified based on 15-minute precipitation from gauges and 30-minute precipitation from the IMERG multi-satellite constellation. False positive and false negative precipitation events were identified and analyzed to determine characteristics. Precipitation events identified by gauges had longer duration and had higher cumulative precipitation than those identified by GPM IMERG. GPM IMERG had many false event detections during the summer months suggesting possible virga event detection, which is when precipitation falls from a cloud but evaporates before it reaches the ground. The frequency and timing of the merged Passive Microwave (PMW) product and forward propagation were responsible for IMERG overestimating cumulative precipitation during some precipitation events and underestimating others. This work can inform experts that are using the GPM IMERG NRT product to be mindful of situations where GPM IMERG estimated precipitation events may not fully resolve the hydrometeorological conditions driving these hazards.
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