货币市场资金调动对尼日利亚经济增长动态的影响分析

Osamo Caleb Kehinde, O. Nwankwo, Awogbemi, Clement Adeyeye, Charles C. Okeke
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摘要

经济增长是一些生产性努力的结果,其中储蓄动员被认为是非常重要的。本研究探讨了 2001-2022 年期间的储蓄动员战略及其对尼日利亚经济增长的影响,其目标是研究银行业密度、储蓄率和货币供应量对经济增长的影响。研究依赖于尼日利亚中央银行出版物中的时间序列数据。国内生产总值增长率(GDPGR)是因变量,银行密度(BD)、储蓄率(SR)和货币供应量(MS)是自变量。采用了增量迪基富勒(ADF)单位根检验来测试静态性。自回归分布滞后(ADRL)与向量误差修正模型(VCM)一起用于确定变量之间的关系。使用的估计后诊断工具包括 Breuch-Godfrey 序列相关性 LM 检验和稳定性 CUSUM 检验。根据 ARDL,采用 β 系数和相关概率来确定经济增长的关系程度和方向。数据在 5%的显著性水平上进行了检验;结果发现,银行密度和储蓄率对经济增长有积极影响,但影响不显著,而货币供应量对经济增长有消极影响,影响不显著。因此,除其他外,研究建议各利益相关方努力提高银行业密度,而不是银行业荒漠,并建议货币供应量应根据经济现实情况进行动态调整。
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Analysis of the Effects of Money Market Fund Mobilization on the Dynamics of Nigerian Economic Growth
Economic growth is a function of some productive efforts among which savings mobilizations is considered very vital. This study examines savings mobilization strategy and its impact on Nigeria’s economic growth during the year 2001-2022.This is vested with the objectives to investigate the effect of banking density, savings rates and money supply on  economic growth. The study relies on time series data sourced from the publication of the Central Bank of Nigeria. Gross Domestic Product Growth Rate (GDPGR) was adopted as dependent variable, while Banking Density (BD), Savings Rates (SR) and Money Supply (MS) were the independent variables. Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root test was employed, to test the stationarity. The Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (ADRL) was used to ascertain the relationship between the variables alongside Vector Error Correction Model (VCM). Post estimation diagnostic tools used include Breuch-Godfrey serial correlation LM test and the CUSUM test for stability. From the ARDL, β-coefficient and the associated probabilities were adopted to determine the extent and direction of relationship on economic growth. Data were tested at 5% level of significance; it was discovered that banking density and savings rates affected economic growth positively but with insignificant effects, while money supply affected economic growth negatively with insignificant effect. The study therefore recommends amongst others, that stakeholders, be directed towards entrenching higher banking density as opposed to banking desert, and that money supply should be made dynamic in accordance with economic realities.
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