欧洲大冰雹气候学:欧洲恶劣天气数据库的特点

Faye Hulton, David M. Schultz
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摘要

摘要大冰雹(直径大于 2 厘米)可对农作物和财产造成毁灭性破坏,甚至可能导致生命损失。由于冰雹报告通常是由各个国家收集的,因此构建全欧洲的大冰雹气候学至今仍具有挑战性。不过,欧洲强风暴实验室的欧洲恶劣天气数据库提供了唯一的泛欧强对流风暴报告数据集。该数据库由从 40 CE 到 2020 年 9 月的 62053 份大风报告组成,但尚未对其特征进行评估。因此,本研究旨在评估该数据库中的冰雹报告,以构建大冰雹气候学。在 2000-2020 年期间,6 月份的大冰雹报告最为突出,而 7 月份的大冰雹日最为常见。大冰雹多发生在当地时间 13:00-19:00 之间,这是自 2010 年以来的一贯模式。以最大冰雹尺寸衡量的冰雹强度显示,随着冰雹直径的增大,冰雹发生的频率也在降低,20 年间几乎没有变化。各国的报告质量各不相同,中欧国家的报告最为完整。因此,结果表明,尽管该数据集的记录较短,但许多迹象表明,它代表了欧洲大冰雹气候学的某些可靠方面,尽管存在一些局限性。
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Climatology of large hail in Europe: characteristics of the European Severe Weather Database
Abstract. Large hail (greater than 2 cm in diameter) can cause devastating damage to crops and property and can even cause loss of life. Because hail reports are often collected by individual countries, constructing a Europe-wide large-hail climatology has been challenging to date. However, the European Severe Storm Laboratory's European Severe Weather Database provides the only pan-European dataset for severe convective-storm reports. The database is comprised of 62 053 large-hail reports from 40 CE to September 2020, yet its characteristics have not been evaluated. Thus, the purpose of this study is to evaluate hail reports from this database for constructing a climatology of large hail. For the period 2000–2020, large-hail reports are most prominent in June, whereas large-hail days are most common in July. Large hail is mostly reported between 13:00–19:00 local time, a consistent pattern since 2010. The intensity, as measured by maximum hail size, shows decreasing frequency with increasing hailstone diameter and little change over the 20-year period. The quality of reports by country varies, with the most complete reporting being from central European countries. Thus, results suggest that despite its short record, many indications point to the dataset representing some reliable aspects of the European large-hail climatology, albeit with some limitations.
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