欧洲国家零售业发展与经济表现之间的关系模型

Olena Bilovodska, Kostiantyn Ivanchenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要现代全球市场需要格外关注零售业的发展,零售业不仅是各国经济的门面,而且在促进各国经济繁荣方面发挥着关键作用。在此背景下,鉴于零售贸易作为经济体系关键要素之一的重要性,了解零售业发展指标与经济状况指标之间的关系十分必要,也是科学家和经济学家的一项重要任务。强调零售贸易与欧洲国家经济状况之间的关系为了解和预测乌克兰加入欧盟后的经济和社会发展趋势以及促进创业精神提供了机会。本研究旨在建立零售贸易发展与欧洲国家经济发展之间的关系模型,并在统计上确定显著的依赖关系,同时确定对该行业发展有影响的指标。研究确定了 2005-2022 年经济增长特征对欧洲国家零售贸易业发展的重要影响。特别是,研究确定贸易额取决于人均国内生产总值、消费者通胀率和经济中的失业率等指标。零售商数量受高科技出口量和衡量国家收入不平等程度的基尼指数的影响。该行业的雇员人数取决于消费通胀率、失业率和基尼指数。投资于该行业企业经营活动的收入份额取决于消费通胀水平、失业率、研发支出占国内生产总值的份额和人均国内生产总值。人均国内生产总值对营业额的正面影响最大,消费通胀对营业额的正面影响也最大。失业率对营业额和行业员工人数的负面影响最大。研究证实了经济发展对欧洲国家零售业产生积极影响的假设。一个促进研发投资、旨在降低失业率和提高经济效率的经济体系,对欧洲国家零售业的发展起着关键作用。有鉴于此,今后的研究应侧重于可能影响零售业发展的其他因素,以便更好地了解该领域的发展进程,并制定更准确、更有效的战略,促进零售业的可持续增长。
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МОДЕЛЮВАННЯ ВЗАЄМОЗВ'ЯЗКУ МІЖ РОЗВИТКОМ РОЗДРІБНОЇ ТОРГІВЛІ ТА ЕКОНОМІЧНИМИ ПОКАЗНИКАМИ В ЄВРОПЕЙСЬКИХ КРАЇНАХ
Abstract. The modern global market requires extraordinary attention to the development of retail trade, which is not only the face of the economy of countries, but also plays a key role in promoting their economic prosperity. In this context, understanding the relationship between retail development indicators and indicators of the state of the economy is necessary given the importance of retail trade as one of the key elements of economic systems and is an important task for scientists and economists. Highlighting the relationship between retail trade and the state of the economy of European countries opens up opportunities for understanding and predicting economic and social trends on the path of Ukraine's accession to the EU, and promotes entrepreneurship. This study aims to model the relationship and establish statistically significant dependencies between the development of retail trade and the economic development of European countries, and to identify indicators that have an impact on the development of the industry. The study established a statistically significant impact of economic growth characteristics on the development of the retail trade industry in European countries in 2005-2022. In particular, it has been determined that the volume of trade turnover depends on such indicators as GDP per capita, consumer inflation and unemployment in the economy. The number of retailers is influenced by the volume of high-tech exports and the Gini index, which measures income inequality in the country. The number of employees in the industry depends on consumer inflation, unemployment and the Gini index. The share of income that is invested in the operating activities of the industry's enterprises depends on the level of consumer inflation, unemployment, the share of research and development expenditures in GDP and GDP per capita. GDP per capita has the strongest positive effect on turnover and consumer inflation on turnover. The unemployment rate has the strongest negative impact on turnover and the number of employees in the industry. The study confirmed the hypothesis about the positive impact of economic development on the retail industry in European countries. An economic system that promotes investment in research and development, aims to reduce unemployment and increase economic efficiency, plays a key role in the development of the retail industry in European countries. Given this, future research should focus on other factors that may influence the development of the retail industry in order to better understand the processes taking place in this area and to develop more accurate and effective strategies to promote its sustainable growth.
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