Yacong Gao , Chenjing Zhou , Jian Rong , Xia Zhang , Yi Wang
{"title":"加强微观模拟模型的参数校准:研究改进方法","authors":"Yacong Gao , Chenjing Zhou , Jian Rong , Xia Zhang , Yi Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.simpat.2024.102950","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Calibrating microscopic traffic simulation models is a prerequisite for simulation applications. This study proposes three novel methods to improve the accuracy and interpretability of the calibration model. The proposed approach involves selecting the calibration parameter, refining the model parameter system, and optimizing the calibration results. The first method expands the single-point mean into a multi-point distribution. The cumulative distribution curve of delay was selected as the calibration parameter. The second method divides the parameter system into global and local parameters. Global parameters were calibrated using NGSIM measured data, and local parameters were calibrated through intelligent algorithms. The third method proposes a methodology of parameter clustering recursion based on the genetic algorithm results, with information entropy selected as the analysis index. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed optimization methods, this study used NGSIM trajectory data as a case study. Eight simulation schemes based on the three optimization methods were designed, and simulation experiments were conducted using the VISSIM platform. The results show that the accuracy of the multi-point distribution calibration and parameter value optimization method is significantly higher than the default method. Additionally, the optimization method with calibration of both global and local parameters was more consistent with actual driving characteristics. This study provides a theoretical foundation for improving the practical application of traffic simulation technology, which has significant implications for transportation planning and management.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49518,"journal":{"name":"Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory","volume":"134 ","pages":"Article 102950"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Enhancing parameter calibration for micro-simulation models: Investigating improvement methods\",\"authors\":\"Yacong Gao , Chenjing Zhou , Jian Rong , Xia Zhang , Yi Wang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.simpat.2024.102950\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Calibrating microscopic traffic simulation models is a prerequisite for simulation applications. This study proposes three novel methods to improve the accuracy and interpretability of the calibration model. The proposed approach involves selecting the calibration parameter, refining the model parameter system, and optimizing the calibration results. The first method expands the single-point mean into a multi-point distribution. The cumulative distribution curve of delay was selected as the calibration parameter. The second method divides the parameter system into global and local parameters. Global parameters were calibrated using NGSIM measured data, and local parameters were calibrated through intelligent algorithms. The third method proposes a methodology of parameter clustering recursion based on the genetic algorithm results, with information entropy selected as the analysis index. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed optimization methods, this study used NGSIM trajectory data as a case study. Eight simulation schemes based on the three optimization methods were designed, and simulation experiments were conducted using the VISSIM platform. The results show that the accuracy of the multi-point distribution calibration and parameter value optimization method is significantly higher than the default method. Additionally, the optimization method with calibration of both global and local parameters was more consistent with actual driving characteristics. This study provides a theoretical foundation for improving the practical application of traffic simulation technology, which has significant implications for transportation planning and management.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49518,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory\",\"volume\":\"134 \",\"pages\":\"Article 102950\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-04-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1569190X24000649\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1569190X24000649","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Enhancing parameter calibration for micro-simulation models: Investigating improvement methods
Calibrating microscopic traffic simulation models is a prerequisite for simulation applications. This study proposes three novel methods to improve the accuracy and interpretability of the calibration model. The proposed approach involves selecting the calibration parameter, refining the model parameter system, and optimizing the calibration results. The first method expands the single-point mean into a multi-point distribution. The cumulative distribution curve of delay was selected as the calibration parameter. The second method divides the parameter system into global and local parameters. Global parameters were calibrated using NGSIM measured data, and local parameters were calibrated through intelligent algorithms. The third method proposes a methodology of parameter clustering recursion based on the genetic algorithm results, with information entropy selected as the analysis index. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed optimization methods, this study used NGSIM trajectory data as a case study. Eight simulation schemes based on the three optimization methods were designed, and simulation experiments were conducted using the VISSIM platform. The results show that the accuracy of the multi-point distribution calibration and parameter value optimization method is significantly higher than the default method. Additionally, the optimization method with calibration of both global and local parameters was more consistent with actual driving characteristics. This study provides a theoretical foundation for improving the practical application of traffic simulation technology, which has significant implications for transportation planning and management.
期刊介绍:
The journal Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory provides a forum for original, high-quality papers dealing with any aspect of systems simulation and modelling.
The journal aims at being a reference and a powerful tool to all those professionally active and/or interested in the methods and applications of simulation. Submitted papers will be peer reviewed and must significantly contribute to modelling and simulation in general or use modelling and simulation in application areas.
Paper submission is solicited on:
• theoretical aspects of modelling and simulation including formal modelling, model-checking, random number generators, sensitivity analysis, variance reduction techniques, experimental design, meta-modelling, methods and algorithms for validation and verification, selection and comparison procedures etc.;
• methodology and application of modelling and simulation in any area, including computer systems, networks, real-time and embedded systems, mobile and intelligent agents, manufacturing and transportation systems, management, engineering, biomedical engineering, economics, ecology and environment, education, transaction handling, etc.;
• simulation languages and environments including those, specific to distributed computing, grid computing, high performance computers or computer networks, etc.;
• distributed and real-time simulation, simulation interoperability;
• tools for high performance computing simulation, including dedicated architectures and parallel computing.