CT-based radiomics model using stability selection for predicting the World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology grade of clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

Objectives: This study aimed to develop a model to predict World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology (WHO/ISUP) low-grade or high-grade clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) using 3D multiphase enhanced CT radiomics features (RFs).

Methods: CT data of 138 low-grade and 60 high-grade ccRCC cases were included. RFs were extracted from four CT phases: non-contrast phase (NCP), corticomedullary phase, nephrographic phase, and excretory phase (EP). Models were developed using various combinations of RFs and subjected to cross-validation.

Results: There were 107 RFs extracted from each phase of the CT images. The NCP-EP model had the best overall predictive value (AUC = 0.78), but did not significantly differ from that of the NCP model (AUC = 0.76). By considering the predictive ability of the model, the level of radiation exposure, and model simplicity, the overall best model was the Conventional image and clinical features (CICFs)-NCP model (AUC = 0.77; sensitivity 0.75, specificity 0.69, positive predictive value 0.85, negative predictive value 0.54, accuracy 0.73). The second-best model was the NCP model (AUC = 0.76).

Conclusions: Combining clinical features with unenhanced CT images of the kidneys seems to be optimal for prediction of WHO/ISUP grade of ccRCC. This noninvasive method may assist in guiding more accurate treatment decisions for ccRCC.

Advances in knowledge: This study innovatively employed stability selection for RFs, enhancing model reliability. The CICFs-NCP model's simplicity and efficacy mark a significant advancement, offering a practical tool for clinical decision-making in ccRCC management.