人工智能驱动的 COVID-19 预测:高级深度学习方法的综合比较。

IF 2.1 Q3 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives Pub Date : 2024-04-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-28 DOI:10.24171/j.phrp.2023.0287
Muhammad Usman Tariq, Shuhaida Binti Ismail
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目标:冠状病毒病 2019(COVID-19)大流行继续对包括阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)在内的公共卫生部门构成重大挑战。本研究旨在评估各种深度学习模型在预测阿联酋 COVID-19 病例方面的效率和准确性,从而帮助该国公共卫生部门做出知情决策:本研究利用了一个综合数据集,其中包括 COVID-19 确诊病例、人口统计数据和社会经济指标。训练和评估了多个先进的深度学习模型,包括长短期记忆(LSTM)、双向 LSTM、卷积神经网络(CNN)、CNN-LSTM、多层感知器和递归神经网络(RNN)模型。此外,还采用了贝叶斯优化方法对这些模型进行微调:评估框架显示,每个模型都表现出不同程度的预测准确性和精确性。具体而言,即使不进行优化,RNN 模型的表现也优于其他架构。对 COVID-19 数据集进行了全面的预测和透视分析:本研究超越了学术界限,提供了重要的见解,使阿联酋的公共卫生部门能够部署有针对性的数据驱动干预措施。RNN 模型被认为是在这一特定情况下最可靠、最准确的模型,可对公共卫生决策产生重大影响。此外,这项研究的广泛意义还验证了深度学习技术处理复杂数据集的能力,从而为公共卫生和医疗保健领域的预测准确性提供了变革潜力。
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AI-powered COVID-19 forecasting: a comprehensive comparison of advanced deep learning methods.

Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues to pose significant challenges to the public health sector, including that of the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The objective of this study was to assess the efficiency and accuracy of various deep-learning models in forecasting COVID-19 cases within the UAE, thereby aiding the nation's public health authorities in informed decision-making.

Methods: This study utilized a comprehensive dataset encompassing confirmed COVID-19 cases, demographic statistics, and socioeconomic indicators. Several advanced deep learning models, including long short-term memory (LSTM), bidirectional LSTM, convolutional neural network (CNN), CNN-LSTM, multilayer perceptron, and recurrent neural network (RNN) models, were trained and evaluated. Bayesian optimization was also implemented to fine-tune these models.

Results: The evaluation framework revealed that each model exhibited different levels of predictive accuracy and precision. Specifically, the RNN model outperformed the other architectures even without optimization. Comprehensive predictive and perspective analytics were conducted to scrutinize the COVID-19 dataset.

Conclusion: This study transcends academic boundaries by offering critical insights that enable public health authorities in the UAE to deploy targeted data-driven interventions. The RNN model, which was identified as the most reliable and accurate for this specific context, can significantly influence public health decisions. Moreover, the broader implications of this research validate the capability of deep learning techniques in handling complex datasets, thus offering the transformative potential for predictive accuracy in the public health and healthcare sectors.

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来源期刊
Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives
Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives Medicine-Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
CiteScore
10.30
自引率
2.30%
发文量
44
审稿时长
16 weeks
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