Effects of an extreme weather event over reproduction and survival of Great Tits (Parus major) in eastern Spain

The frequency of extreme climatic and weather events has increased since 1950 due to global changes induced by human influence. These events can have significant impacts at the individual, population, and community levels across various taxonomic groups. They can be particularly detrimental to bird populations during their breeding season, affecting specific breeding parameters. This study originated from an exceptionally rare breeding season of a resident Great Tit population recorded in spring 2002 when an unusual mortality of nestlings was observed. We quantified weather conditions (temperature, rainfall) from the end of April, a few days before we started detecting failed nests, and compared them with previous and subsequent years. In early May, when many pairs were incubating or caring for newly hatched chicks, we detected unusually low ambient temperatures and unusually high rainfall. This event likely caused that many first clutches failed completely, and that, compared with previous and subsequent years, fledging and breeding success was relatively low in those which were successful. There was also an increased proportion of replacement clutches that year. Anyway, the overall production of fledglings per breeding pair over the breeding season was 2.39, lower than other years. Although recruitment rate in 2003 was similar to other years, the lower production of fledglings in 2002 probably resulted in a decrease in the number of breeding pairs in the following years.