框架效应和处置效应:理解有界理性的投资决策工具

IF 1.9 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI:10.1108/rbf-11-2023-0311
Andreas Kiky, Apriani Dorkas Rambu Atahau, Linda Ariany Mahastanti, Supatmi Supatmi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的 本文旨在通过了解处置效应背后的合理性来探索投资决策工具的开发。我们认为,并非所有的处置决策都是非理性的。这些决策应基于个人目标和容忍度的有界理性进行评估,而以往的文献并未涉及这一点。在他们的决策中加入个人偏好(目标和容忍度)的背景,可以改善处置效应的经典测量方法。观察两组 Z 世代投资者。对照组在没有任何系统建议的情况下根据自己的判断做出决定。相比之下,第二组在输入目标和承受能力时会得到帮助。此外,还应用了框架效应来提醒他们的目标和承受能力,以诱导他们在获利时做出更多持有决定,而在亏损时做出卖出决定。有界理性解释了清算收益的合理性,因为参与者已经达到了他们的目标。框架效应不会随着天数的增加而影响处置效应;随着时间的推移,处置效应会越来越高。有界理性背景下对处置效应的新测量优于原有的处置效应系数。实际意义Gen Z投资者需要一个系统辅助工具来帮助他们的投资决策设定目标和容忍度,以缓解处置效应。投资公司可以根据实时市场数据制作溢价功能,让投资者长期理性地管理资产。有界理性理论为理解行为金融学中利润最大化与非理性决策之间的差距提供了更多灵活性。原创性/价值经典的 "已实现收益比例"(PGR)和 "已实现亏损比例"(PLR)测量方法无法适应用户选择目标和容忍度的多种情况,我们认为需要用有界理性对其进行重新评估。因此,本文提出了考虑用户目标和容忍度的新测量方法,以评估用户决策的合理性。
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Framing effect and disposition effect: investment decisions tools to understand bounded rationality

Purpose

This paper aims to explore the development of investment decision tools by understanding the rationality behind the disposition effect. We suspect that not all disposition decisions are irrational. The decisions should be evaluated based on the bounded rationality of the individuals’ target and tolerance level, which is not covered in previous literature. Adding the context of individual preference (target and tolerance) in their decision could improve the classic measurement of disposition effect.

Design/methodology/approach

The laboratory web experiment is prepared to collect the responses in holding and selling the stocks within 14 days. Two groups of Gen Z investors are observed. The control group makes a decision based on their judgment without any system recommendation. In contrast, the second group gets help inputting their target and tolerance. Furthermore, the framing effect is also applied as a reminder of their target and tolerance to induce more holding decisions on gain but selling on loss.

Findings

The framing effect is adequate to mitigate the disposition effect but only at the early day of observation. Bounded rationality explains the rationality of liquidating the gain because the participants have reached their goal. The framing effect is not moderated by days to affect the disposition effect; over time, the disposition effect tends to be higher. A new measurement of the disposition effect in the context of bounded rationality is better than the original disposition effect coefficient.

Practical implications

Gen Z investors need a system aid to help their investment decisions set their target and tolerance to mitigate the disposition effect. Investment firms can make a premium feature based on real-time market data for investors to manage their assets rationally in the long run. Bounded rationality theory offers more flexibility in understanding the gap between profit maximization and irrational decisions in behavioral finance. The government can use this finding to develop a suitable policy and ecosystem to help beginner investors understand investment risk and manage their assets based on subjective risk tolerance.

Originality/value

The classic Proportion Gain Realized (PGR) and Proportion Loss Realized (PLR) measurements cannot accommodate several contexts of users’ targets and tolerance in their choices, which we argue need to be re-evaluated with bounded rationality. Therefore, this article proposed new measurements that account for the users’ target and tolerance level to evaluate the rationality of their decision.

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来源期刊
Review of Behavioral Finance
Review of Behavioral Finance BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
5.00%
发文量
44
期刊介绍: Review of Behavioral Finance publishes high quality original peer-reviewed articles in the area of behavioural finance. The RBF focus is on Behavioural Finance but with a very broad lens looking at how the behavioural attributes of the decision makers influence the financial structure of a company, investors’ portfolios, and the functioning of financial markets. High quality empirical, experimental and/or theoretical research articles as well as well executed literature review articles are considered for publication in the journal.
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