用于风电场安全的短期风功率预测金字塔残余注意力模型

IF 2.2 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Quality and Reliability Engineering International Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI:10.1002/qre.3562
Hai‐Kun Wang, Jiahui Du, Danyang Li, Feng Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风电波动会严重影响风电场电网的安全稳定运行。当并网风电装机容量扩大到一定程度时,这些波动会对风电场的运行产生不利影响。因此,风能预测成为确保安全、稳定和高效风力发电的关键技术。为了优化电网调度,加强风电场的运行和维护,精确的风功率预测至关重要。在此背景下,我们引入了一种联合深度学习模型,该模型集成了紧凑型金字塔结构和剩余注意力编码器,旨在提高风电场运行的安全性和可靠性。该模型采用紧凑型金字塔结构,从输入序列中提取多时间尺度特征,促进了不同尺度间的有效信息交换,并增强了对长期序列依赖性的捕捉。为了缓解梯度消失问题,该模型采用了残差变换器编码器,通过全局点乘注意路径增强了原始注意机制。这种方法改进了梯度下降过程,在不引入额外超参数的情况下使其更易于使用。该模型的有效性通过中国一个实际风电场的数据集进行了验证。实验结果表明,该模型显著提高了风力发电预测的准确性,从而为风电场的运行安全做出了贡献。
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A pyramidal residual attention model of short‐term wind power forecasting for wind farm safety
Wind power fluctuation significantly impacts the safe and stable operation of the wind farm power grid. As the installed capacity of grid‐connected wind power expands to a certain threshold, these fluctuations can detrimentally affect the wind farm's operations. Consequently, wind power prediction emerges as a critical technology for ensuring safe, stable and efficient wind power generation. To optimize power grid dispatching and enhance wind farm operation and maintenance, precise wind power prediction is essential. In this context, we introduce a joint deep learning model that integrates a compact pyramid structure with a residual attention encoder, aiming to bolster wind farm operational safety and reliability. The model employs a compact pyramid architecture to extract multi‐time scale features from the input sequence, facilitating effective information exchange across different scales and enhancing the capture of long‐term sequence dependencies. To mitigate vanishing gradients, the residual transformer encoder is applied, augmenting the original attention mechanism with a global dot product attention pathway. This approach improves the gradient descent process, making it more accessible without introducing additional hyperparameters. The model's efficacy is validated using a dataset from an actual wind farm in China. Experimental outcomes reveal a notable enhancement in wind power prediction accuracy, thereby contributing to the operational safety of wind farms.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
21.70%
发文量
181
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: Quality and Reliability Engineering International is a journal devoted to practical engineering aspects of quality and reliability. A refereed technical journal published eight times per year, it covers the development and practical application of existing theoretical methods, research and industrial practices. Articles in the journal will be concerned with case studies, tutorial-type reviews and also with applications of new or well-known theory to the solution of actual quality and reliability problems in engineering. Papers describing the use of mathematical and statistical tools to solve real life industrial problems are encouraged, provided that the emphasis is placed on practical applications and demonstrated case studies. The scope of the journal is intended to include components, physics of failure, equipment and systems from the fields of electronic, electrical, mechanical and systems engineering. The areas of communications, aerospace, automotive, railways, shipboard equipment, control engineering and consumer products are all covered by the journal. Quality and reliability of hardware as well as software are covered. Papers on software engineering and its impact on product quality and reliability are encouraged. The journal will also cover the management of quality and reliability in the engineering industry. Special issues on a variety of key topics are published every year and contribute to the enhancement of Quality and Reliability Engineering International as a major reference in its field.
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