投资者赌博心理的个人动机:赌博情绪与彩票类股票的经验证据

Zewei Long, Wei Wang, Haohua Li, Xinghao Huang
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摘要

我们利用百度指数构建了一个衡量公众赌博情绪的指标,并实证检验了赌博情绪的时空波动对彩票类股票表现的影响。实证结果表明,赌博情绪的高涨与彩票型股票市场的卖出量、短期订单失衡和流动性的增加相关,同时会降低异常收益,包括新股的初始收益。我们将此归因于投资者将彩票和彩票相关股票视为可互换的投资选择,他们的赌博心态源于财富的积累而非对刺激的追求。
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The individual motivation of investors' gambling mentality: Empirical evidence from gambling sentiment and lottery‐type stocks
We construct a measure of public gambling sentiment using the Baidu index and empirically examine the influence of temporal fluctuations in gambling sentiment on the performance of lottery‐type stocks. The empirical findings reveal that heightened gambling sentiment correlates with increased selling volume, short‐term order imbalances and liquidity in the lottery‐type stock market, while diminishing abnormal returns, including the initial returns of IPOs. We attribute this to investors' gambling mentality stemming from the accumulation of wealth rather than the pursuit of excitement, as they view lotteries and lottery‐related stocks as interchangeable investment options.
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