公共债务及其对银行行为和金融效率的影响:透视加纳

Clement Osei-Amoako, Kojo Aboagye-Debrah
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摘要

本研究探讨了在 COVID-19 大流行病的经济影响加剧全球和国家债务水平上升的情况下,公共债务对加纳银行行为和金融效率的影响。本研究采用探索性研究设计和定量方法,分析了加纳 201 名银行业专业人士的看法。研究采用了分组抽样和有目的抽样技术,以确保样本的代表性。通过调查工具和回归分析,收集了有关银行规避风险行为、信贷供应、利率以及与公共债务水平相关的投资决策等方面的数据,以量化这些影响。调查结果显示,银行业专业人士非常担心高额公共债务会影响保守的借贷行为、提高利率、减少信贷供应,并对银行的盈利能力和金融体系的稳定性产生不利影响。回归分析证实,公共债务与金融效率之间存在负相关关系,表明公共债务水平的上升可能会阻碍银行业的运营效率。这些结果突出表明,亟需进行战略性财政管理,以降低高公共债务水平对金融稳定和发展带来的风险。我们敦促政策制定者和金融机构考虑采取促进金融部门效率和可持续债务水平的措施,包括财政整顿战略、投资组合多样化和加强风险评估模型。本研究针对加纳的具体情况提出了见解,为有关公共债务对金融发展影响的实证论述做出了贡献。
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Public Debt and It’s Impact on Bank Behaviour and Financial Efficiency: Ghana in Perspective
This study explored the impact of public debt on bank behaviour and financial efficiency in Ghana amid rising global and national debt levels exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic’s economic repercussions. An exploratory research design employing a quantitative approach was used to analyze the perceptions of 201 banking professionals across Ghana. The study utilized cluster and purposive sampling techniques to ensure a representative sample. Data were collected on banks’ risk-averse behaviour, credit availability, interest rates, and investment decisions in relation to public debt levels, using survey instruments and regression analysis to quantify the impacts. The findings reveal significant concerns among banking professionals regarding the influence of high public debt on conservative lending practices, increased interest rates, reduced credit availability, and adverse effects on banks’ profitability and the financial system’s stability. Regression analysis confirmed a negative relationship between public debt and financial efficiency, indicating that rising public debt levels may hinder the sector’s operational effectiveness. These results underscore the critical need for strategic fiscal management to mitigate the risks associated with high public debt levels on financial stability and development. Policymakers and financial institutions are urged to consider measures that promote financial sector efficiency and sustainable debt levels, including fiscal consolidation strategies, diversification of investment portfolios, and enhancement of risk assessment models. This study contributes to the empirical discourse on the effects of public debt on financial development by providing insights specific to the Ghanaian context, which has been relatively underexplored.
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