了解 COVID-19 的传播:采用卡普托分数导数的泰国综合数学模型

Shamil E, Sayooj Aby Jose, H. S. Panigoro, A. Jirawattanapanit, B. I. Omede, Z. Yaagoub
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究引入了一个复杂的数学模型来了解 COVID-19 的传播动态,其中包含整数和分数导数。该模型经过了严格的分析,研究了平衡点、繁殖数和可行性。定点理论的应用确定了唯一解的存在,证明了模型的稳定性。为了得出近似解,采用了广义亚当斯-巴什福斯-穆尔顿方法,进一步提高了研究的分析深度。通过基于泰国数据的数值模拟,研究深入探讨了 COVID-19 传播的复杂性,包括全面的数据分析和参数估计。研究主张采用综合方法,建议采取预防措施和家庭疗法相结合的策略,展示其对缓解大流行的重大影响。这项全面的调查极大地促进了对 COVID-19 危机的广泛理解和有效管理,为制定公共卫生战略和指导个人行动提供了宝贵的见解。
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Understanding COVID-19 propagation: a comprehensive mathematical model with Caputo fractional derivatives for Thailand
This research introduces a sophisticated mathematical model for understanding the transmission dynamics of COVID-19, incorporating both integer and fractional derivatives. The model undergoes a rigorous analysis, examining equilibrium points, the reproduction number, and feasibility. The application of fixed point theory establishes the existence of a unique solution, demonstrating stability in the model. To derive approximate solutions, the generalized Adams-Bashforth-Moulton method is employed, further enhancing the study's analytical depth. Through a numerical simulation based on Thailand's data, the research delves into the intricacies of COVID-19 transmission, encompassing thorough data analysis and parameter estimation. The study advocates for a holistic approach, recommending a combined strategy of precautionary measures and home remedies, showcasing their substantial impact on pandemic mitigation. This comprehensive investigation significantly contributes to the broader understanding and effective management of the COVID-19 crisis, providing valuable insights for shaping public health strategies and guiding individual actions.
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