中子源任务率计算中截面引起的不确定性

J. Lűley, B. Vrban, Š. Čerba, Vendula Filová, V. Necas, Matej Krivošík, P. Blahušiak, A. Javorník, J. Slučiak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的分析重点是横截面数据引起的不确定性的特征,这些不确定性导致了校正因子的整体不确定性。计算方法和计算能力的进步使修正系数的计算成为锰浴法的标准步骤之一,从而降低了人们对这部分方法的兴趣。无论如何,随着计算工具的发展,横截面数据也得到了改进,新的核资料库评估包含了更多关于横截面数据协方差的信息。因此,中子截面引起的不确定性的传播可以在硫酸锰浴模型的标准输运计算中进行。本文利用实施随机技术的超序列 SAMPLER 模块来评估计算结果的不确定性。在 400 个参数不确定的情况下计算了溶液中所有核素的反应速率,并通过辅助工具对结果进行了评估。在计算中考虑核数据的不确定性是大势所趋,需要核研究人员的关注,也应引起计量学界的重视。通过校正因子,在总体不确定性中引入了额外的 1.5%(一个西格玛)不确定性。
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Cross-section induced uncertainties in neutron source mission rate calculations
Analysis presented in the paper is focused on the characterization of uncertainties induced by cross-section data, which contributing to the overall uncertainty of the correction factors. Advances in computational methods and computational power shifted the calculation of correction factors among the standard steps of the manganese bath method what decrease an interest about this part of the method. Anyway, with the development of computational tools, the cross-section data were also improved, and new evaluations of nuclear data libraries include more information about the cross-section data covariances. Therefore, the propagation of uncertainties induced by neutron cross-sections can be carried out within standard transport calculation of the manganese sulphate bath model. In this paper, the super-sequence SAMPLER module that implements stochastic techniques is used to assess the uncertainty in computed results. Reaction rates on all nuclides of the solution are computed in 400 cases with uncertain parameters and the results are evaluated by an auxiliary tool. Consideration of nuclear data uncertainty in calculations is a general trend that requires the attention of nuclear researchers and should draw attention in metrology. Additional 1.5 % (one-sigma) uncertainty is introduced to the overall uncertainty through correction factor.
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