测试基于 WRF 的五大湖区域气候模式对积云参数化和频谱推移的敏感性

Abby Hutson, A. Fujisaki‐Manome, Brent Lofgren
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摘要

天气研究和预报(WRF)模式被用于动态缩减ERA-Interim 全球再分析数据,以测试其作为大湖区(GLR)区域气候模式(RCM)的性能。根据五大湖流域(GLDB)的 2 米温度和降水累积情况,对应用于湿度的四种积云参数化和三种光谱推移技术进行了评估。结果与未采用光谱诱导的对照模拟进行了比较,并进行了补充分析,显示了每个诱导变量对温度、湿度和降水的贡献。除一个模拟外,所有 RCM 试验模拟在温暖月份的降水量都偏干,唯一偏湿的模拟降水量误差也最小。研究发现,对温度进行光谱推算可显著改善冷季的寒冷偏差,而对湿度进行推算可改善模拟的全年和昼夜温度范围,但对降水的影响却很复杂。
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Testing the Sensitivity of a WRF-based Great Lakes Regional Climate Model to Cumulus Parameterization and Spectral Nudging
The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is used to dynamically down-scale ERA-Interim global reanalysis data to test its performance as a regional climate model (RCM) for the Great Lakes Region (GLR). Four cumulus parameterizations and three spectral nudging techniques applied to moisture are evaluated based on 2 m temperature and precipitation accumulation in the Great Lakes Drainage Basin (GLDB). Results are compared to a control simulation without spectral nudging, and additional analysis is presented showing the contribution of each nudged variable to temperature, moisture, and precipitation. All but one of the RCM test simulations have a dry precipitation bias in the warm months, and the only simulation with a wet bias also has the least precipitation error. It is found that the inclusion of spectral nudging of temperature dramatically improves a cold-season cold bias, and while the nudging of moisture improves simulated annual and diurnal temperature ranges, its impact on precipitation is complicated.
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