Survival and outcomes of isolated neonatal ventricular septal defects: A population-based study from a middle-income country.

Background and aims: Limited data on the survival and outcomes of ventricular septal defect (VSD) in middle-income countries are available. Hence, this study aims to determine the survival and factors associated with mortality among neonatal VSD.

Materials and methods: This is a retrospective, population based study of neonates with isolated VSD born between 2009 and 2019. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate the overall survival. Cox regression analysis was used to determine factors associated with mortality.

Results: There were 726 patients studied, with 82 (11%) of them having trisomy 21. The median age of diagnosis and follow-up was 5 days (interquartile range [IQR]: 2-10 days) and 2.3 years (IQR: 0.6-4.8 years), respectively. Of 726, 399 (55%) were perimembranous, 218 (30%) muscular, and 109 (15%) outlet VSD. VSD was small in 309 (42%), moderate in 337 (46%), and large in 80 (11%). Of 726 patients, 189 (26%) had congestive heart failure (CHF) and 52 (7.2%) developed pulmonary hypertension (PHT). Interestingly, one-third of CHF and PHT resolved over time during follow-up. Only 1 (0.1%) patient had infective endocarditis, 38 (5.2%) developed aortic regurgitation, and none had Eisenmenger syndrome. Overall, 149 (20%) needed surgery, 399 (55%) spontaneously closed, and 178 (25%) remained small. The mortality rate was 3.9% (28), 16 (57%) preoperatively, and 11 (39%) due to pneumonia. Trisomy 21, PHT, and birth weight <2.5 kg were independent factors for mortality with an adjusted hazard ratio of 6.0 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.1-16.9), 3.2 (95% CI: 1.2-8.4), and 3.6 (95% CI: 1.7-7.8), respectively. The overall survival at 1, 5, and 10 years was 96% (95% CI: 95-98), 95% (95% CI: 94-97), and 95% (95% CI: 94-97), respectively.

Conclusions: Despite limited pediatric and congenital cardiac services in middle-income countries, the overall survival of neonatal VSD is good, with poor outcomes in small infants, PHT, and trisomy 21.