物流碳排放的时空格局与驱动因素:中国长江三角洲案例研究

Enyan Zhu, Jian Yao, Wenjia Zheng, Chang Sun, Mei Sha
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摘要

随着人类对物流业的依赖程度越来越高,物流碳排放(LCEs)的增长趋势也越来越严重。为研究物流碳排放的时空格局及其驱动因素,结合夜间灯光遥感数据计算了城市尺度的物流碳排放。此外,还在中国长江三角洲地区应用了空间面板数据模型。结果表明,在 2010-2019 年期间,总体 LCE 呈上升趋势。东部城市和省会城市的 LCE 明显高于其他空间聚集明显的城市。在驱动因素方面,国内生产总值、人口规模、第三产业比重均对 LCEs 有显著的正向影响。总之,本研究对于准确获取城市尺度的 LCE 时空动态信息,促进差异化碳减排措施的实施具有重要的现实意义。
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Spatial-Temporal Patterns and Driving Factors of Logistics Carbon Emissions: Case Study of Yangtze River Delta in China
With the growing dependence of human beings on the logistics industry, the trend of logistics carbon emissions (LCEs) growth has become much more serious. To investigate the spatial-temporal pattern of LCEs as well as their driving factors, city-scale LCEs were calculated by combining them with nighttime light remote sensing data. In addition, a spatial panel data model was applied in the case of China’s Yangtze River Delta. The results showed that the overall LCEs performed as a rising trend during 2010–2019. The LCEs of the eastern cities and provincial capitals were significantly higher than those of other cities with obvious spatial agglomerations. For driving factors, the gross domestic product, population size, and proportion of tertiary industry all had significant positive influences on the LCEs. Overall, this study is of great practical significance to accurately obtain information on the spatial-temporal dynamics of LCEs at the city-level scale, so as to facilitate the differentiated implementation of carbon reduction measures.
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