反事实和不确定的可能性

IF 1.1 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY ANALYSIS Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI:10.1093/analys/anad095
Jonas Werner
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文讨论莎伦-贝里(Sharon Berry)在《分析》(Analysis)杂志上提出的一个难题。这个难题的背景问题是,我们应该如何处理那些看似可信的可能性判断,因为这些判断会让我们陷入在现实中找不到依据的反事实真相。我们将讨论这个问题的三个答案及其相应的解决方法。最后一个答案提供了一种方法来理解命题是否可能在某些情况下是不确定的这一说法,并提供了对不确定模态状态的解释。
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Counterfactuals and indeterminate possibility
This paper discusses a puzzle raised by Sharon Berry, published in Analysis. The question in the background of this puzzle is how we should deal with seemingly plausible possibility judgements that commit us to counterfactual truths that find no basis in reality. Three answers to this question and their corresponding solutions to the puzzle will be discussed. The last answer provides a way to make sense of the claim that it is in some cases indeterminate whether a proposition is possible and offers an account of indeterminate modal status.
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来源期刊
ANALYSIS
ANALYSIS PHILOSOPHY-
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
12.50%
发文量
68
期刊介绍: Analysis is the most established and esteemed forum in which to publish short discussions of topics in philosophy. Articles published in Analysis lend themselves to the presentation of cogent but brief arguments for substantive conclusions, and often give rise to discussions which continue over several interchanges. A wide range of topics are covered including: philosophical logic and philosophy of language, metaphysics, epistemology, philosophy of mind, and moral philosophy.
期刊最新文献
A puzzle about weak belief On the dilemma for partial subjunctive supposition Fragility and strength Alan Author strikes again: more on confirming conjunctions of disconfirmed hypotheses Correction to: Primitive conditional probabilities, subset relations and comparative regularity
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